AI · resolved market
DeepSeek R2 released before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3dd91c568a792cd21d986bfda8b68199d9f88bad3586a34f8761ce51c71080e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e26…32a8backed No | 63c | 23,211$14,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,588.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179b…4398backed Yes | 37c | 23,211$8,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,588.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2c…ec5abacked No | 47c | 21,910$10,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,612.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…f405backed Yes | 53c | 21,910$11,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,612.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…b063backed Yes | 13c | 7,680$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…e853backed No | 70c | 6,238$4,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed Yes | 62c | 4,731$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 37c | 4,371$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 59c | 4,254$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.41 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 47c | 4,086$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d7a5backed No | 22c | 2,675$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +344.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 47c | 2,617$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.85 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 36c | 2,614$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 49c | 2,519$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8990…bc80backed No | 49c | 2,291$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7121…afd2backed Yes | 12c | 1,984$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 35c | 1,812$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.81 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed Yes | 62c | 1,761$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 48c | 1,630$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.8 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 46c | 1,552$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.59 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 58c | 1,516$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 50c | 1,175$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.52 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 37c | 976.77$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…9346backed Yes | 50c | 965.71$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 19c | 950.38$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.2 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…baa3backed No | 54c | 881.21$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 8c | 870.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddd…76b2backed No | 67c | 844.52$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…6387backed No | 47c | 746.67$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 70c | 680.2$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.1 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 624$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 42c | 600$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…54a5backed No | 47c | 576.61$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…0c91backed No | 62c | 500$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 79c | 496.1$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…0261backed Yes | 49c | 438.81$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…600dbacked No | 34c | 425.84$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 50c | 422.68$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 12c | 421$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.63 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked Yes | 61c | 419.08$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.24 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05a…5fddbacked Yes | 74c | 403.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5413…7306backed Yes | 5c | 402.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…3ad8backed Yes | 68c | 401$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 44c | 385$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.74 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4508…9134backed Yes | 27c | 375.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 62c | 375.48$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.99 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked No | 40c | 361$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 54c | 342.84$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.23 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 71c | 317.76$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 59c | 306.6$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…6034backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…b363backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…73c2backed No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 8c | 290.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 43c | 276.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.62 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 13c | 270.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -23.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed Yes | 70c | 259.4$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.67 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 25c | 256.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.84 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 255.38$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 73c | 255.18$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 49c | 243.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed No | 25c | 237.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…f6e8backed Yes | 22c | 230.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…196cbacked No | 67c | 228.53$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 48c | 223.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…a2b0backed No | 31c | 219.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 41c | 219.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…e597backed Yes | 56c | 209.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 13c | 207.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 30c | 199.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2290…80bebacked Yes | 72c | 198.71$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 43c | 196.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 66c | 196$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 52c | 167.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 157.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…e9c6backed Yes | 61c | 154.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d51…f316backed Yes | 22c | 149.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…29e2backed No | 15c | 147.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +569.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Yes | 9c | 146$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…3834backed Yes | 56c | 145$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 75c | 141.47$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 64c | 139.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed No | 67c | 136.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 14c | 125.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 49c | 121$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 14c | 120.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7090…0414backed Yes | 53c | 116.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…c0febacked Yes | 14c | 114.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed No | 17c | 114.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…cdf1backed No | 58c | 112.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…a1afbacked No | 45c | 111.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0e…f8febacked Yes | 29c | 110.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e55…2b2abacked No | 31c | 109.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…025ebacked No | 78c | 107$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 19c | 105.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…fc1bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…e07bbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.