TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf5cf…9fc6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
297
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Movies, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST9533.7%32 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$7,865Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47%+$3,696.09
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34.58
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+111.7%+$60.2
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$308.32
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.2
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.92
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,955Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+80.3%+$3,978.68
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,639
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.2
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.7%+$160.24
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$172.95
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$248.33
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$439.44
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$137.21
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80.3
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,272.64
Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$185.19
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,164.07
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$90.19
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$219.08
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.56
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+89.5%+$33.2
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+98.7%+$84.09
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,284.77
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$973.25
California redistricting referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$135.63
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,050.85
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,003.33
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24.15
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$580.55
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,439Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66.2%+$3,602.08
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$731.88
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$763.88
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,857Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+25.1%+$717.88
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$148.18
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,991.52
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,723.99
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,864Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,864.29
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$93.12
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$753.55
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$22.42
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+220.6%+$274.1
Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.63
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+75.4%+$96.77
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.92
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,367Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+116.2%+$1,588
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$247.21
Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+39.4%+$149.9
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111.78
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.6%+$185.76
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.11
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$65.03
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.9
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,037.18
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$216
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$3,156.15
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,560.35
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,732.14
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$534.85
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,743Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,743.46
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,861Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$6,861
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$323.64
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$30.34
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,197.88
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$953Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+66.1%+$630.11
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$265
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$139.43
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$475.34
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$506.32
DeepSeek R2 released before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$632.81
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$115.74
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT248.3%2 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-89.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.36
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$534.24
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$8,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$8,596.83
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$6,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$6,591.08
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.55
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$199.1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$305.92
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,960.7
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15,108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+29.4%+$4,443.76
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$210.09
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.26
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$32.96
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14,909.59
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$166.44
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,654Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,654.26
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$62.37
Fed rate hike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$78.25
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$496.78
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,063.67
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,908.43
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,115.87
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+30.5%+$274.21
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$27.03
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$21.7
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-44.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$84.97
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$469.11
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$133.72
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$39.91
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$400.48
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$397.72
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,621Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$3,620.89
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$9,579Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.7%+$3,422.47
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$207.03
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$41.04
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,966Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+116.4%+$3,451.23
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16.64
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+43.8%+$1,408.9
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16,030Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+39.2%+$6,287.02
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$358.88
Will Loren Taylor win the Oakland mayoral race?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.45
Will another candidate win the Oakland mayoral race?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.74
Will Barbara Lee win the Oakland mayoral race?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.78
Canada election called before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$170.64
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$120.45
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$4,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,659.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,430Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+674.2%+$9,639.71
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,833Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$2,832.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$8,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$8,651.11
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,359.57
Ethereum all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$400.99
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$880.47
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$5,229.46
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+68.8%+$1,481.91
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,037Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.9%+$2,467.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$597.96
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.2%+$612.84
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$3,490.09
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$4,576.9
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,854Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+30.5%+$1,481.29
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+293.6%+$1,968.94
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 84?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+138.8%+$64.52
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+130.6%+$14.72
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39.39
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$456.11
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$2,564.48
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$43.68
Will "The Substance" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.32
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+349.5%+$163.28
Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+85.7%+$53.5
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
Will "The Substance" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$151.05
Will Kieran Culkin win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$370.64
Will 'Conclave' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$57.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,510.32
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$677.25
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$914.55
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$271.89
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,895.3
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$805.35
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassimebacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.06
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.75
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$540.35
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+127.4%+$92.44
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.9%+$162.89
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$289.39
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$167.99
Will Lil Wayne perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$36.58
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$242.55
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "All The Stars"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.93
Will Ben Johnson be the head coach of the Raiders in the 2025-26 NFL season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.27
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-48.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+91.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+146.2%+$122.46
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,747.16
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$148.77
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+154%+$174.8
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$363.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+62.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,807Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+225.4%+$4,071.6
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,010.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 BMW Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$433.37
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2025 BMW Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,547Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+132.7%+$2,053.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,741Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28%+$1,049.09
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,638.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2025 January hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$90.35
2024 December hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$122.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+58.2%+$41.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$470.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$212.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.