Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf60658d6f43572f16ce366a573f5a2ba7f2fafa1341814771a8914ea6c0036b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $549,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $560,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fa5…16e3backed No | 43c | 70,216$30,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,023.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +192.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…41babacked Yes | 57c | 70,216$40,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,023.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…31f1backed Yes | 46c | 46,122$21,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,216.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44c…c458backed No | 54c | 46,101$24,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,206.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…b5fabacked Yes | 52c | 34,233$17,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,801.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6eb…1d57backed No | 48c | 34,233$16,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,801.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…0c89backed No | 49c | 34,099$16,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,390.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…36c8backed Yes | 51c | 34,099$17,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,390.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…9454backed No | 59c | 24,657$14,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,109.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7da…63d7backed Yes | 41c | 24,657$10,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,109.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…06a7backed Yes | 42c | 23,708$9,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,957.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…682bbacked No | 58c | 23,708$13,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,957.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 56c | 7,039$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.79 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1472…468bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,942$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 21c | 3,198$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.22 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 39c | 1,674$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.91 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 58c | 1,623$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.06 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 24c | 999.27$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.74 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 35c | 999.01$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.89 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 58c | 991.37$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.66 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 17c | 990.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.38 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 35c | 836.87$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.62 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 8c | 823$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 32c | 700$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 8c | 680$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 17c | 660.25$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 34c | 656$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.78 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25b…9f3dbacked Yes | 31c | 630$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 19c | 599.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedf…c648backed Yes | 18c | 556.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263d…d077backed Yes | 18c | 556.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab9…beb5backed No | 78c | 512.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 70c | 463$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.1 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 36c | 439.64$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.79 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 3c | 427.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 413.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 75c | 400$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 38c | 399.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 68c | 393.66$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 34c | 355$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 62c | 353$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 351.72$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…62b4backed Yes | 40c | 326.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 51c | 319.58$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.66 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…5ee2backed No | 80c | 300$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 32c | 299$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 18c | 293.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked Yes | 32c | 277.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 66c | 269.39$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 232.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 49c | 224$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.34 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 61c | 210$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes | 45c | 205$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 76c | 180.88$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…8749backed Yes | 64c | 180.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…0b46backed No | 51c | 174.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…746abacked Yes | 35c | 172.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 55c | 167.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…9179backed Yes | 16c | 159.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 19c | 148$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 42c | 141.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed Yes | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecca…3040backed Yes | 72c | 138.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 131.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 17c | 119.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 21c | 118.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…07fbbacked Yes | 52c | 116.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfd…113fbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked No | 69c | 100.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…71f4backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b8…ec46backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fb…2771backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 55c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 54c | 99.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 17c | 95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -89%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…00fdbacked Yes | 44c | 91.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…7fcebacked Yes | 19c | 80.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 37c | 80.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 25c | 79.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 65c | 77.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…96a0backed Yes | 23c | 76.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…6638backed No | 40c | 73.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…e21abacked Yes | 46c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c7…ce35backed Yes | 42c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed No | 74c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…92e2backed No | 49c | 64.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 62c | 62.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 50c | 60.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed No | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…aa60backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…140cbacked Yes | 46c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…a149backed Yes | 60c | 57.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?this page
- Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.