Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x553e544e90a507cbda445ff4e625d664d1693ca7ab2b2cb1c911bcdce5a97d5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $414,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $396,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb403…06f0backed No | 11c | 50,558$5,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,561.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 6c | 12,084$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.01 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 1c | 10,912$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.22 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 10,017$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 7,944$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 10c | 7,000$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.55 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 6,980$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed No | 5c | 6,872$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.51 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed No | 8c | 6,691$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.47 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf5…a5e4backed No | 11c | 6,429$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed No | 4c | 6,080$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.84 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -56%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 1c | 5,791$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed No | 20c | 4,121$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.44 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked No | 6c | 3,933$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…d1ebbacked No | 3c | 3,528$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…cfa0backed No | 1c | 3,500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 2c | 3,271$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…53ccbacked No | 19c | 3,263$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…c77fbacked No | 5c | 3,133$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 2,968$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…31a6backed No | 2c | 2,772$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 6c | 2,710$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.58 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9529…7c6abacked No | 2c | 2,647$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…3c8abacked No | 8c | 2,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed No | 3c | 2,260$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 7c | 2,015$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.18 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…421dbacked No | 11c | 2,000$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.75 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…a1fabacked No | 1c | 1,594$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…a48cbacked No | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 11c | 1,413$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 14c | 1,220$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.17 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed No | 15c | 1,100$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…47e9backed No | 14c | 1,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb15a…ea08backed No | 19c | 980$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d44…d9adbacked No | 3c | 909.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 13c | 859.23$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 2c | 836.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…d639backed No | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x364d…1739backed No | 3c | 799.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 22c | 772.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…ceb0backed No | 2c | 764.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…b754backed No | 18c | 746.08$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37b…7808backed No | 3c | 744.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 714.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 3c | 701.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…3fabbacked No | 3c | 657$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked No | 8c | 620$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked No | 9c | 615.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed No | 17c | 605.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf75a…365ebacked No | 7c | 579$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed No | 8c | 556.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 11c | 550$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d73…f538backed No | 9c | 528.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…1807backed No | 5c | 520$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…ef4cbacked No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…0d55backed No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked No | 10c | 481$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdc…16d9backed No | 21c | 458.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed No | 5c | 446.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…512abacked No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 5c | 386.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcace…f2f6backed No | 17c | 382.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…bc8fbacked No | 5c | 351$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…d87bbacked No | 6c | 335.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 22c | 327$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed No | 11c | 315.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bc…acc9backed No | 6c | 302$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…0439backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…4638backed No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…6638backed No | 7c | 292.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e55…41fcbacked No | 12c | 281.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 6c | 279.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 6c | 278$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 9c | 265.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e7…83f2backed No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 13c | 239.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x895e…609fbacked No | 16c | 238.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 78c | 228$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 8c | 218.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 8c | 214.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…c4a8backed No | 19c | 213.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked No | 12c | 213.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…2e97backed No | 6c | 212.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 14c | 201.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…4fcebacked No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…6a63backed No | 6c | 196.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…a86bbacked No | 8c | 196.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…05d0backed No | 12c | 195$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed No | 23c | 188$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe77e…bb3dbacked No | 11c | 183.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe812…9db5backed No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 13c | 159$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…1df2backed No | 11c | 148.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…d264backed No | 17c | 148.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 16c | 147.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb93…24a8backed No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?this page
- Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.