Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c5cfb24831b2fced77d225ad84937807de67e6013ba42f79e33643952e404d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $788,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $806,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea40…05a7backed Yes | 61c | 81,352$49,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,727.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf1…8428backed No | 39c | 81,352$31,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,727.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97db…8513backed No | 45c | 34,355$15,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,459.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…3092backed Yes | 55c | 34,355$18,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,459.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe587…9d4dbacked No | 0c | 34,299$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 24,311$19,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.15 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 36c | 21,862$7,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,885.9 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed No | 1c | 21,000$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 4c | 20,717$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.4 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 3c | 20,350$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.39 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 66c | 13,188$8,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,467.36 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 66c | 12,100$7,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked Yes | 65c | 12,039$7,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,171.83 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…4b1fbacked Yes | 76c | 4,618$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…b22dbacked No | 0c | 4,521$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked Yes | 74c | 4,052$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed Yes | 76c | 4,026$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 65c | 4,021$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.55 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9a…de87backed Yes | 61c | 4,021$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.48 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 54c | 4,011$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.02 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 76c | 4,002$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.39 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 71c | 3,841$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.01 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 53c | 3,101$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.99 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6112…0421backed No | 39c | 3,041$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 37c | 2,872$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.25 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed No | 24c | 2,751$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddb…d0b1backed No | 41c | 2,712$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 67c | 2,534$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.89 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcce…3e55backed No | 41c | 2,531$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.59 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 2,509$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.03 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 40c | 2,504$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.12 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…bc8fbacked Yes | 75c | 2,333$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 3c | 2,324$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed No | 25c | 2,177$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 75c | 2,104$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.44 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 69c | 1,896$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.19 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 54c | 1,682$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.88 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 65c | 1,602$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.87 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…eeb2backed Yes | 79c | 1,582$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 2c | 1,513$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 42c | 1,443$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.5 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…7db5backed No | 28c | 1,442$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9584…e081backed No | 26c | 1,429$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 38c | 1,400$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.5 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed No | 13c | 1,365$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 1,339$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…74d6backed Yes | 76c | 1,312$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 66c | 1,304$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.38 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db8…4348backed No | 1c | 1,269$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 5c | 1,250$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 60c | 1,232$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.96 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…bb62backed No | 19c | 1,156$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.14 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 26c | 1,134$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.47 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 57c | 1,100$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.38 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…8b69backed No | 9c | 1,098$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 75c | 1,079$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.42 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 31c | 1,069$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.22 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked No | 34c | 1,067$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.66 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed No | 41c | 1,037$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.22 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…5243backed No | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1,019.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 25c | 1,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 69c | 974.74$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.24 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…a24ebacked No | 53c | 963.89$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed No | 25c | 951.59$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed No | 11c | 898.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 28c | 896$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.58 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 23c | 859.58$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…c486backed No | 24c | 850.27$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes | 55c | 838.81$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +227.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc74…91b1backed No | 24c | 824.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 7c | 814.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 39c | 813.22$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.21 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d2…a6b3backed Yes | 78c | 809.62$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 126 | 19.8%25 W · 101 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 36c | 800$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed No | 8c | 798.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed No | 22c | 792.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.56 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 70c | 771.49$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad95…8e7fbacked Yes | 65c | 765.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…290ebacked No | 14c | 746.47$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked No | 16c | 726.65$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed No | 32c | 725.64$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 68c | 721.63$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.3 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 69c | 705.93$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.84 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1081…d4e8backed No | 3c | 703.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 50c | 700.95$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…7069backed No | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 28c | 695.12$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 56c | 687.88$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes | 75c | 665.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3e…b77ebacked No | 25c | 645.13$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 54c | 602$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.42 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 36c | 600$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.91 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 76c | 596.45$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.45 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…c12dbacked Yes | 63c | 580.89$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8e…a466backed No | 26c | 580.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 28c | 576.16$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed No | 43c | 570$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 25c | 549.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?this page
- Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.