TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fc3…e92e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Cricket, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2536%9 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+273%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$49.81
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$90
International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$540
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$150
International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+259.2%+$723.55
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$300
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$219.66
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+6,566.7%+$3,689.81
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$199.99
Will South Africa win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$280
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+100%+$370.16
New Zealand T20 Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 5)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$123.42
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Game 2)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$319.26
Australia T20 Series: Australia vs India (Game 4)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+122.2%+$366.48
New Zealand T20 Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Pakistan T20 Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Nov 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.66
Pakistan T20 Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Oct 31)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+92.4%+$192.2
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs West Indies (Oct 31)backed Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Women's Cricket World Cup Final Stage: India vs Australia (Game Semi Finals)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+739.7%+$2,007.15
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs West Indies (Oct 27)backed Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
ICC WWC: India vs. New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.1
ICC WWC: South Africa vs. Pakistanbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$74.62
ICC WWC: Sri Lanka vs. Bangladeshbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$202.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-69.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$306.01
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$999.5
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+150%+$469.33
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$622.2
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,299Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+49.1%+$3,586.15
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.33
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,460.99
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$465.69
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$341.53
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$285.2
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+185.7%+$195
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Henry Bernet vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Bernet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+150%+$300
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$270.83
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Chennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Joanna Garlandbacked Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$80
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-61.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.99
Will Getafe vs. Girona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+79.2%+$88.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Altman say "GPT" 7+ times during TBPN appearance on October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will International Business Machines (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.