Tennis · resolved market
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Henry Bernet vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3825b483de17085e30d8668eaac0f6c9b6becdcbdbb287c4ddd640043daf621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bernetof Bernet, Tirante
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tirante | 38c | 3,472$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.75 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Bernet | 50c | 3,160$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.37 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bernet | 60c | 899.5$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.35 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…0ea6backed Tirante | 56c | 560$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Bernet | 39c | 509.18$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.6 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bernet | 68c | 502.94$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked Bernet | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bernet | 44c | 393.67$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.56 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Tirante | 59c | 383.1$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.48 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Tirante | 10c | 351.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Bernet | 44c | 318.91$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.91 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed Tirante | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Tirante | 58c | 191.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…7fd4backed Tirante | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Tirante | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tirante | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Tirante | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Bernet | 40c | 113.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…d706backed Tirante | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Bernet | 73c | 89.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7486…08bbbacked Tirante | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aed…2ef3backed Tirante | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…b602backed Bernet | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bernet | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bernet | 34c | 40.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…88e8backed Tirante | 66c | 39.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tirante | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…c3e4backed Tirante | 57c | 34.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…0659backed Tirante | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Tirante | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Tirante | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ef…1be5backed Tirante | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…daedbacked Tirante | 59c | 18.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.