TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a74…c3e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
272
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST8968.5%61 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.1%+$43.55
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$12.95
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.49
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+150%+$165
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$122.45
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$129.13
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$4.44
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$7.35
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$7.35
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$14.57
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+57.2%+$22.87
Kennesaw State vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+63.9%+$69.05
O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Northwestern vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$5.69
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.22
Troy vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Georgia Southern vs. Marshallbacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.08
Iowa vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.71
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+37%+$6.66
Navy vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Baylor vs. Arizonabacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Minnesota vs. Northwesternbacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Louisville vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalobacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Akron vs. Bowlingbacked Bowling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.94
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$65.99
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST3351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Lightning vs. Kingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Predators vs. Utahbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+127.3%+$50.91
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Flames vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.18
Red Wings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.68
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$29.37
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+98.9%+$17.9
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25%+$5.29
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.56
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$23.46
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.02
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32.73
Spread: Packers (-13.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$10.85
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.81
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$30.6
Browns vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Dolphins vs. Falconsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+45.7%+$15.07
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-34.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Henry Bernet vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jiangxi Open: Lilli Tagger vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+55.8%+$13.94
Jiangxi Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Hanyu Guobacked Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.13
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Chennai Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$13.11
Rolex Paris Masters: Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$43.68
Rolex Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norriebacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinnbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maddison Inglis vs Yafan Wangbacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.55
All 13 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Forge Global Holdings (FRGE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.54
Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$43.39
Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+45.6%+$12.12
Will DuPont de Nemours (DD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40.99
Will Bumble (BMBL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+31.3%+$18.14
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.93
Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$3.72
Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-48.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs FUT Academy (BO3)backed megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+67.2%+$30.25
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs SAW (BO3)backed SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+156.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$18.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+61.7%+$19.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+41.8%+$6.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.