TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,857 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes76c20,000$15,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80036243.1%156 W · 206 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No24c19,057$4,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,573.668344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c18,722$7,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,911.997,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Yes61c10,007$6,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,933250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No38c8,075$3,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,070.8211054.5%60 W · 50 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No32c7,197$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.565,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a3…1c90backed Yes50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked No22c4,989$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No4c4,887$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.12717%5 W · 66 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Yes52c3,820$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No41c3,326$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.4746454.3%252 W · 212 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed Yes52c2,258$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes66c2,256$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.394837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes77c2,074$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.072548%12 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No25c2,050$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.4812613.5%17 W · 109 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No23c2,022$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.032536%9 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes37c1,997$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.211650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes47c1,890$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes65c1,536$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.47650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1190…2a70backed Yes75c1,406$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7f…105bbacked No25c1,404$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes52c1,287$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.371070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0805…31c0backed Yes78c1,283$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.42683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes44c1,216$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.2785340.1%342 W · 511 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a92…6c9fbacked No24c1,200$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ca…3d37backed Yes76c1,200$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2882100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+74.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8160…7963backed No23c1,200$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdce2…1150backed Yes77c1,200$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a3…1901backed Yes78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed No23c1,000$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.19811.2%11 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba7c…a3cbbacked No22c999.89$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes64c934.1$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No22c909$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9827542.5%117 W · 158 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6775…c73bbacked Yes47c773.64$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd34…140dbacked Yes78c734.62$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes65c700$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2454351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No37c691.55$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.4918143.6%79 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Yes44c685.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes57c652.5$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.033046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked No4c617.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes75c612$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15317447.7%83 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7860…4694backed Yes43c600$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+100.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No35c599.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105944.1%26 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes47c574.34$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.867237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes77c554.18$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.865438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes78c530.31$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc759…b0d2backed No38c485.44$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.392937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No23c477.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4829425.9%76 W · 218 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Yes68c438.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.62560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x883f…aad2backed Yes77c376.62$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Yes39c371.62$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes79c368.81$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.452665.4%17 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes46c344.79$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes37c340$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2133935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes78c333.33$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.332774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes77c315.58$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.583452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked No62c308.06$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Yes79c307.24$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-53.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes78c300$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5753…0da7backed Yes52c294.23$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes78c275.64$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.642972.4%21 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No24c264.49$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.397860.3%47 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.163100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes73c261.02$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.028458.3%49 W · 35 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4135154.7%192 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes78c255$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.12365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.51136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes48c244.17$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.17850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No13c239.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.042035%7 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8545…da3bbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc794…d09cbacked Yes35c228.57$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0efd…a51cbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0b…ae91backed No24c210$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4063…0c2bbacked Yes33c200$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes57c200$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8526949.8%134 W · 135 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003966.7%26 W · 13 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed No22c199.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No24c199.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488845.5%40 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f67…aea6backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ba…e7eebacked Yes37c195.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes75c183.8$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.957258.3%42 W · 30 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6410…ee60backed Yes56c178.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes79c168.07$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.381266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick70cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89de…9bc9backed Yes79c159.8$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+82.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes79c158.23$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.235667.9%38 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.867237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes66c156.03$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.052161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853275%24 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b46…4f6ebacked Yes79c151.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes66c151.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80b6…ebb8backed Yes77c149.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No23c149.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5557019.8%113 W · 457 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes78c147.44$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.445058%29 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.