TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cfd…ca1b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
302
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$941.75
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.2
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$179.23
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$694.92
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 7.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+924.5%+$924.54
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.2
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5149%25 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$279
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$257.58
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+41.2%+$123.69
Spread: Bears (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Bills (-2.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Giants (-2.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Patriots vs. Ravens: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Texans (-12.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Bills (-8.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: 49ers (-12.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Spread: LAR (-8.5)backed LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Ravens (-6.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Spread: Buccaneers (-8.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-41.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$235.29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.37
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$85.71
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: Newcastle (-0.5)backed Newcastle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed Aston Villa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Wolves win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+41.2%+$41.21
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed Manchester United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$24.64
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+261.3%+$784.02
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.1%+$162.32
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.4%+$62.83
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$84.62
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Saif Ali Khan be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25.2%+$100.72
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+36.8%+$73.51
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+59.4%+$178.3
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+73.3%+$293.37
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+50.7%+$50.75
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$134.78
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+118.8%+$118.75
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10.67
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+182.3%+$182.33
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$110.52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53%+$53.03
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+30.4%+$91.17
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.1%+$25.08
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108%+$216.07
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+105%+$209.96
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$347.22
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+52.7%+$52.73
Will Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$40.28
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$186.16
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid+5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+303.6%+$151.79
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$37.21
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$192.56
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.1%+$16.03
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+62.7%+$62.74
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+48.8%+$48.81
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.27
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+248.4%+$248.38
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+60.6%+$727.74
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$1,457
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78%+$131.06
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+251.8%+$251.79
Hamburg European Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ignacio Busebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Geneva Open: Valentin Royer vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+223%+$223
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$750
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tommy Paul vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.41
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$39.67
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+58.3%+$81.62
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+339.4%+$373.33
Bayrou out as French PM by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
North Korea missile test by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$9.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$85.71
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$22.64
35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
US military action against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+62.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$220
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$74.1
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$75.58
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+68.9%+$68.92
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$93.37
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.4
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5)backed Feyenoord Rotterdam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$115.31
All 9 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+85.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$132.21
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.49
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$153.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.