Earnings · resolved market
Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6421d99701ffeae2f07c4e7bb1f72cab75f647e5cf9112155f38b2fa9277069d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8689…d843backed Yes | 4c | 2,738$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 55c | 1,098$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.71 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 10c | 1,083$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed No | 77c | 517.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 12c | 344.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…8072backed Yes | 8c | 299.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 15c | 283.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Yes | 43c | 223.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed No | 50c | 211.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 44c | 204.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Yes | 50c | 201.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…a70fbacked No | 55c | 196.44$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +12.8wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 28c | 176.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Yes | 48c | 166.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked No | 66c | 152.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 33c | 152.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Yes | 40c | 145.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 18c | 139.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed Yes | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…966ebacked No | 59c | 119.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 118$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 20c | 115.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Yes | 42c | 106$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed Yes | 44c | 103.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 26c | 97.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…67b6backed Yes | 33c | 80.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 53c | 74.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 16c | 68.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 27c | 64.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 78c | 64.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ac…bbd7backed Yes | 40c | 62.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…eddcbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 59.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…0457backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…650bbacked Yes | 65c | 49.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 78c | 44.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 25c | 44.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Yes | 42c | 44.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed Yes | 58c | 44.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Yes | 44c | 34.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…8405backed Yes | 42c | 30.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…8dd1backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Yes | 42c | 25.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…5ec6backed Yes | 42c | 25.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Yes | 42c | 24.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…4323backed Yes | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5780…dd00backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.