TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd2dc…223e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
936
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Tweets, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 53 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT19419.1%37 W · 157 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 194 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.13
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$38.47
Will Palantir dip to $126 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Apple reach $284 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+131.9%+$19.78
Will Amazon dip to $176 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+32.6%+$3.59
Will Meta reach $730 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.44
Will Meta dip to $620 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.49
Will Google reach $365 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Microsoft reach $480 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+75.7%+$10.59
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+566.7%+$68
Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+129.1%+$25.81
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+570.7%+$168.56
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $150 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+66.5%+$8.24
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $146 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.5%+$9.77
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $142 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+260.3%+$28.18
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $160 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.16
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+177.8%+$21.33
Showing 25 of 194 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT11226.8%30 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+223.4%+$39.57
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$15.1
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+360.7%+$100.78
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+211.1%+$52.15
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+241.1%+$28.92
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+373.5%+$38.49
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+93.5%+$13.08
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+302.3%+$77.37
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.78
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+109.8%+$18.08
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+118.9%+$27.33
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.39
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.02
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+156.9%+$36.38
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.4%+$11.57
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+456.5%+$212.24
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.18
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.42
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT9914.1%14 W · 85 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-60.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+400%+$45.67
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$16.94
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+317.1%+$36.81
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+165.9%+$19.58
Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Mezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$11.79
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+266.8%+$70.79
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.07
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.47
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.19
Bitway FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.92
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+77.4%+$8.1
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+89.6%+$22.5
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.72
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+332.2%+$99.51
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.83
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$37.42
Espresso FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT7824.4%19 W · 59 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+43%+$6.05
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+388.5%+$61.81
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$7.3
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$8.36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$4.92
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+270%+$50.46
VEO 4 released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.19
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+272.5%+$52.42
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6616.7%11 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-56.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+215.3%+$60.96
Will Woody Allen be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.85
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.64
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.68
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Peter Attia out by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.85
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+266.3%+$39.5
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+161.2%+$75.9
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.18
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.72
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.31
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+192.7%+$85.18
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.84
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.97
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+228.2%+$42.03
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50.26
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.35
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.03
Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$23.34
Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.67
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5839.7%23 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+148.4%+$15.87
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+1,308.7%+$134.6
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+187.6%+$22.76
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.7%+$14.49
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+194.1%+$23.29
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.91
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$15.89
Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$18.76
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+163.2%+$21.21
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+334.8%+$40.55
Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.23
Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+143.9%+$18.7
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+94.4%+$10.91
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.83
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+76.8%+$8.72
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.1%+$15.62
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$10.63
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5728.1%16 W · 41 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+45.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$18.3
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$10.01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,756.1%+$386.33
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+162.1%+$54
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$3.17
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+57%+$6.84
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+825.6%+$534.39
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.24
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Will Copper (HG) hit (HIGH) $7.00 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.32
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+59.3%+$10.07
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+79.4%+$14.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+2,091.6%+$318.79
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.99
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$63.8
Silver (SI) Up or Down on February 9?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.61
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4427.3%12 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$5.36
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+176%+$35.2
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$19.67
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.78
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.13
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.65
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.87
Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.54
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$15.82
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+82.7%+$14.87
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7.78
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.37
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$43.99
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+216.9%+$36.86
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.18
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+62.3%+$9.99
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.03
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Russia enter Toretske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.98
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.43
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.62
Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.65
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.1
Will Datadog Inc (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.8
Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37.2%+$7.07
Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+57.1%+$5.88
Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Microchip Technology (MCHP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will TPG (TPG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Fox Corp (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+37.1%+$7.42
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+68.8%+$7.54
Will Pfizer Inc (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47.8%+$9.36
Will Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+144.6%+$33.25
Will Walt Disney Co (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.28
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$32.22
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.83
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.13
Will AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+65%+$15.59
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT3735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$50.38
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Canada recession before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+215.5%+$29.86
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.48
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+126%+$28.97
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.29
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.86
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$21.08
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.37
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$15.02
Kang Sun-woo in jail by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.54
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+32.3%+$5.49
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.44
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31.14
Will Shafiqur Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.95
Will Tarique Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+57%+$19.38
Will the National Citizen Party finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25.08
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the Japan Innovation Party win 45 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT3324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Tulane Green Wave vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.31
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Old Dominion Monarchsbacked Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.42
Toledo Rockets vs. Western Michigan Broncosbacked Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
Omaha Mavericks vs. North Dakota State Bisonbacked North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+45.3%+$5.12
Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Binghamton Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Brown Bearsbacked Dartmouth Big Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
VMI Keydets vs. Mercer Bearsbacked VMI Keydets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Chicago State Cougarsbacked Mercyhurst Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogsbacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Evansville Aces vs. Drake Bulldogsbacked Evansville Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.81
Austin Peay Governors vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonelsbacked Austin Peay Governors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$15.26
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Robert Morris Colonialsbacked IU Indy Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Rice Owlsbacked Rice Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
VCU Rams vs. Davidson Wildcats (W)backed Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+119.3%+$13.12
High Point Panthers vs. Radford Highlandersbacked Radford Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Bellarmine Knights vs. North Florida Ospreysbacked North Florida Ospreys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+222.6%+$26.7
North Dakota State Bison vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles (W)backed Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
East Carolina Pirates vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'The Great Satan' - Rob Zombie debut week album sales be at least 50k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Harry Styles drops 'Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally.' by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will BULLY debut No.1 on Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be less than 150k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.61
Will Choosin’ Texas by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.32
Will Man I Need by Olivia Dean be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29.93
Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.34
Will Aperture by Harry Styles be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32.69
Will I’m The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.72
Will Doechii perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.07
Will "Epstein" be said at the Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+316.7%+$38
Will Tyler the Creator perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$23.66
Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15.24
Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Aperture - Harry Styles be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.17
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$44.51
Will Don’t Be Dumb by A$AP Rocky be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will I Just Might by Bruno Mars be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.74
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 175k and 200k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$66.23
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.44
Will Jeff Bezos attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.27
Will Elon Musk attend Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Will Romeo Santos perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+65%+$14.3
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.99
Will Neverita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$34.2
Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50.55
Will Jay-Z perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will PERRO NEGRO be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+148.2%+$29.63
Will Te Boté - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.23
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.91
Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+59.4%+$8.96
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 17.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47%+$10.34
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.46
Kyren Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 22 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$37.93
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.50 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.76
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+60.3%+$10.85
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.59
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$21.99
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.38
Will monthly inflation be between 2.3% and 2.5% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+138.9%+$52.81
Will Canada’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 6.8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+203.6%+$52.47
Will the U.K.'s monthly inflation be ≥0.3% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$4.07
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+156.4%+$16.68
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.3% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+68.4%+$7.52
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.92
All 14 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-60.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid+281.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+23.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.44
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$22.13
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufabacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Islanders vs. Krakenbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Space — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Group B - Italy vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.07
Women's Group B - Japan vs. Italybacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+27.4%+$3.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.48
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+179.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+179.7%+$39.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+112.8%+$14.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.