Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x246e81120825b3ed48522f8060228a2a30598169817efca40d12082934076303
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UMBC Retrieversof Binghamton Bearcats, UMBC Retrievers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a0c…6b95backed Binghamton Bearcats | 13c | 4,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 12c | 1,335$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.22 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Binghamton Bearcats | 11c | 1,249$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 10c | 1,139$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Binghamton Bearcats | 12c | 746.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…8edcbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Binghamton Bearcats | 14c | 657.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 11c | 550$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Binghamton Bearcats | 12c | 513.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 10c | 481.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Binghamton Bearcats | 13c | 419.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 13c | 278.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Binghamton Bearcats | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Binghamton Bearcats | 8c | 206.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Binghamton Bearcats | 12c | 167.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Binghamton Bearcats | 14c | 143.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…993abacked Binghamton Bearcats | 8c | 132.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Binghamton Bearcats | 8c | 129.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed Binghamton Bearcats | 13c | 122.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…a613backed Binghamton Bearcats | 12c | 97.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Binghamton Bearcats | 14c | 96.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrieversthis page
- Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 138.5Over won
- Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5Over won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-11.5)UMBC Retrievers won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-12.5)UMBC Retrievers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.