TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6756…8edc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST3023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas State Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Richmond Spiders vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$257.5
Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flamesbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$194.6
Princeton Tigers vs. Penn Quakersbacked Princeton Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Omaha Mavericks vs. North Dakota State Bisonbacked Omaha Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Chattanooga Mocsbacked The Citadel Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+262.2%+$917.86
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Vermont Catamountsbacked New Hampshire Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Boston Terriersbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Wagner Seahawks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsbacked Wagner Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Chicago State Cougars vs. New Haven Chargersbacked Chicago State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+162.8%+$407.07
Louisville Cardinals vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Syracuse Orange vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Belmont Bruins vs. UIC Flamesbacked UIC Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+141.5%+$707.48
Drake Bulldogs vs. Illinois State Redbirdsbacked Drake Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Ramsbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Brown Bears vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Brown Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+215.1%+$105.42
Iona Gaels vs. Siena Saintsbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+376.2%+$470.24
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+222.6%+$222.58
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+148%+$296.04
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+566.7%+$566.67
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$177.78
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs Ruddy Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Ruddy Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+234.2%+$234.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,710Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+36.9%+$2,473.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.