TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Clara Tauson vs McCartney Kessler

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tausonof Tauson, Kessler
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x132c…1416backed Kessler41c39,681$16,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,269.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd095…e2c0backed Tauson59c19,802$11,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,118.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16d0…8d03backed Tauson59c17,539$10,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,190.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Tauson62c14,999$9,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,741.1712442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Kessler47c14,358$6,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,778.7835247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kessler40c9,366$3,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,742.6676140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Tauson62c8,061$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060.9448851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kessler33c6,710$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,208.658,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Tauson77c5,392$4,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.352,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kessler16c4,196$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.032,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kessler41c4,178$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.2325428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Tauson55c4,130$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.6110443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2315…f55bbacked Tauson79c4,000$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8403764.9%24 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Tauson58c3,925$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.0119134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Tauson58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.981,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Kessler33c2,944$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.9519846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Tauson78c2,809$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.9714250.7%72 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked Tauson59c2,340$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Tauson75c2,190$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.4462061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tauson60c2,139$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.3811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Tauson61c2,018$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.6517452.9%92 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kessler44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88022641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Tauson58c1,990$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.92369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked Kessler39c1,800$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7025339.6%21 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Tauson60c1,659$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.353050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabdb…3114backed Tauson55c1,573$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.012445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Tauson57c1,543$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.832,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Kessler41c1,404$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.8131753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Kessler1c1,394$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.853834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Kessler40c1,356$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.411,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Tauson60c1,307$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.9811560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Kessler41c1,212$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50084857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kessler40c1,110$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.9114450.7%73 W · 71 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Tauson62c1,101$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.816665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf05…f8e1backed Tauson56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4402152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0826…8738backed Kessler44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe084…04c0backed Tauson56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tauson63c942$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.061,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Kessler37c937.27$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2330530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc8…cd76backed Kessler20c851$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Tauson80c818.78$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.767357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kessler25c771$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1565647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Kessler40c737$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.541,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Kessler40c719.13$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3628726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kessler35c639.57$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.633,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Kessler42c632.18$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.447644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Kessler42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Kessler4c594.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Kessler16c549.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.376829.4%20 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kessler45c539$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5521338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6756…8edcbacked Kessler19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Tauson60c506.67$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.6714568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Tauson60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20037339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc2…b834backed Tauson60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f7…d106backed Tauson53c500$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23612227%33 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Tauson68c486.55$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.592,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Kessler22c470$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.911,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Tauson79c434.31$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3824060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Tauson60c431.92$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7738652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Tauson78c430$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.969249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Kessler41c426.83$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17546553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Kessler42c416.67$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17523735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Tauson56c400$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.227733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kessler3c388.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.666,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Tauson58c371.65$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.253461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Kessler12c370.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.51,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Tauson56c358.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1742046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked Tauson56c355.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3517158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Kessler38c338.95$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.331,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Tauson61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8710862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Tauson63c316.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.234351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Kessler8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7b…3a0dbacked Kessler41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed Tauson55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352065%13 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Tauson52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Kessler19c299.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3231647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa913…cd20backed Kessler19c285$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.851816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kessler38c275.51$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.951,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Kessler46c274$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9612740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Kessler19c263.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Kessler45c259.8$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9128444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Kessler39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Kessler24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014613.7%20 W · 126 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Kessler45c223.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Tauson65c220.24$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0727543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Tauson58c219$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.295140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Tauson60c216.58$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6372542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe12…93aebacked Kessler21c210.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444341.9%18 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kessler36c210$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7634842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Kessler23c204.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4731941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Tauson78c200$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454555.6%25 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Kessler41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8258753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ee…56e7backed Tauson60c196.35$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.541030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Kessler42c190$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.86851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Kessler41c182.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.771,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Tauson57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4419466%128 W · 66 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x713b…ee60backed Kessler29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505628.6%16 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb05…0f4abacked Tauson53c164.15$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.151225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Tauson61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Tauson72c160.9$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.362,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.