TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeba4…69fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
182
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 64 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5339.6%21 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Fritz Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.69
Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.5
Will Alexander Zverev Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,376.33
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)backed Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$897.91
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,243Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,207.5
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,173
Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP Montrealbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,220
Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$645.27
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$742.28
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,595Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,304.98
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,635
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.28
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.45
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,260
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.34
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$105.66
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$509.17
Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelkabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+114%+$1,172
Santa Cruz: Murkel Dellien vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Murkel Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.29
Santa Cruz: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Federico Coriabacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$409
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+6.7wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+76.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+541.4%+$1,477.16
Will 5+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.95
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,054Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,096.5
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$508.8
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.49
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.53
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,003
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,204
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,574.9
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.43
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$293.7
Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$706.51
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.55
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.81
Son Heungmin: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.95
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.35
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$423.69
Mehdi Taremi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.25
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,716
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,053.98
Spread: Panama (-1.5)backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,469.99
Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,378
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$219.15
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+46.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$624.44
Will Magomed Tuchalov win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$240
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$843.6
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050.12
Will Gable Steveson win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$672.1
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+223.3%+$1,942.49
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,324.96
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,049.99
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.69
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Caranobacked Rousey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$326.75
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$25
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,996.5
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,950
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,593Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$9,787.49
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$841.71
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,661Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,661.1
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$641.58
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.54
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$529.57
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$452.61
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$227.87
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$203.93
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$277.99
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$805
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.76
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,225
Spread: California Golden Bears (-5.5)backed UIC Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.58
Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-6.5)backed Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$93.5
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$15.16
Grambling State Tigers vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$186.2
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.12
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40.11
Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+212.5%+$223.36
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35.31
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+152.7%+$250.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.9
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.67
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.21
Will Alex Palou win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$26.27
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+221.1%+$811.68
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$1,253.31
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.51
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$2,360
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,842.49
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,357.29
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.09
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,010.5
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.69
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$544.82
Team World vs. Team USA Starsbacked Team USA Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+143.9%+$764.46
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,770Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$1,230
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-82.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$44.1
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$730.29
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,218.22
NHL Playoffs: Bruins vs. Sabres Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.85
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.77
Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.85
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$208.82
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,140
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.88
PortlandFire vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$775
All 5 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+726.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Will "President" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+1,552.2%+$1,972.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$335.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,176.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.