TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,033 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes51c3,738$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked No47c2,600$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3782763%17 W · 10 L+6.7wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+76.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd64b…873cbacked Yes53c1,181$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-71%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No58c1,089$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.8488838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No46c876.48$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.878927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes38c776.68$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.634740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No46c610.99$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.6513044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…a845backed No50c480.62$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes32c456.44$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1632629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a1…a41ebacked Yes53c430.56$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23014032.1%45 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd1…7af0backed Yes27c399.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101625%4 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No42c395.16$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.1915740.8%64 W · 93 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…dcc8backed No73c364.68$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.18580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f25…21a4backed Yes56c355.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014738.1%56 W · 91 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd66b…1220backed No54c338.48$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.38333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed No63c319.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.262343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaebd…c462backed Yes34c301.34$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed No49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15311453.5%61 W · 53 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Yes56c297.82$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1687945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0679…bebbbacked No53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.025125.5%13 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a5f…e226backed No53c275.25$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.593542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe29b…da59backed Yes58c262.93$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46e6…ed5ebacked No43c253.12$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdaf…eff6backed No51c250$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f14…84ddbacked Yes49c227.61$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db6…9842backed Yes51c210.39$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.19714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-77.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb76c…992fbacked No65c185.95$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.03128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-87.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x27c2…1d29backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes32c182.07$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.266155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked Yes50c171.57$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854965.3%32 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No64c169.73$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7226330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c27…1555backed Yes33c158.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.854746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70da…676fbacked No54c155.44$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.222259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7547049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3da…c898backed Yes20c149.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked No68c148$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.881233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb4…9ed0backed Yes71c141.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes15c140$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf491…6a0bbacked Yes76c131.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No58c131.19$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5213855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa0…70f5backed Yes78c127.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed No34c117.31$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.854233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb860…eda4backed Yes48c111.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.631233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes31c111.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6412729.9%38 W · 89 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No51c108.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5842336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No51c106.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x801b…e036backed No70c105$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.53315.2%5 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-74.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfb2…de0cbacked Yes48c104.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No68c102.55$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3333555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb610…1980backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…a9ccbacked Yes52c94.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fe…979bbacked No55c92.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8618137.6%68 W · 113 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8a…c61bbacked Yes53c89.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes32c86.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.115520%11 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371f…810bbacked Yes52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe71…b183backed No66c76.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.13875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b1…2db7backed No66c75.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.421546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5f…61f3backed No68c73.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.363243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1503…3583backed No70c70.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes47c69.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.742,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0363…d67abacked Yes58c69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.815437%20 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb1…d3c7backed Yes58c68.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.781428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed No43c67.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.783915.4%6 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-62.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f9…2667backed Yes38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf45…5903backed Yes47c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.617342.5%31 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b2d…cb6bbacked Yes37c62.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.38580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0298…43febacked Yes57c61.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26a4…49bbbacked Yes57c60.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3570%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No48c58.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.853467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+42.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0117…667dbacked No53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0476…d8a7backed Yes49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+216.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa640…3b9fbacked Yes58c50.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.377432.4%24 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52213.6%3 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.361241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4346…f897backed No52c48.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.418056.1%101 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9334…393bbacked Yes52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53a0…c754backed Yes60c45.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No27c44.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3119929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cff…3abdbacked Yes57c41.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2903…aa41backed Yes67c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+87.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64c3…75abbacked Yes38c39.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e37…b9d9backed Yes51c39.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e5b…73d0backed Yes51c39.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2dc5…da90backed Yes33c39.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b6…9344backed Yes62c37.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2996…73debacked Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e2…1eb0backed Yes67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c4…ef02backed No55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c15…9a91backed No56c35.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.44425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-55.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ad…cf60backed No64c34.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+129.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Yes57c34.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b6…4636backed No59c33.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0367…69f5backed Yes45c33.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb4…73bcbacked Yes57c32.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8640%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb9d…d78ebacked No56c31.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9112842.2%54 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0944…3018backed Yes36c31.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.