TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes31c5,034$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,473.473138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes63c4,293$2,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.333555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef24…9150backed Yes28c3,964$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+261.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes33c3,492$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.6112945%58 W · 71 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked No40c3,241$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-64%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x43b5…1f2ebacked Yes28c3,132$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+80.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes33c3,000$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0051233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No67c2,988$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.2622139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No47c2,820$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.068660.5%52 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x163c…9fa7backed Yes28c2,781$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf937…53a1backed No69c2,637$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab3…b33bbacked Yes31c2,522$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+59.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa741…db78backed Yes27c2,338$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No67c2,111$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.7234151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d9…19dcbacked No72c1,965$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17bf…99dfbacked Yes28c1,944$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+263.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked No37c1,857$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.972763%17 W · 10 L+6.7wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+76.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x852a…1b2ebacked No72c1,654$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f36…3adabacked No72c1,639$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5447…bd41backed No69c1,628$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.982060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcae1…ad31backed No73c1,580$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8917…7e6bbacked Yes27c1,553$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+267.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No57c1,529$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.4178927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c6…2ce0backed No73c1,518$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes28c1,507$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.311230.4%34 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed No47c1,474$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.462462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8eb0…5638backed No72c1,340$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3df1…72e7backed No69c1,305$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80af…0c19backed Yes63c1,282$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc434…3669backed Yes29c1,281$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a87…8afbbacked Yes27c1,225$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdba6…fd3bbacked Yes32c1,184$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes39c1,160$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.488838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Yes36c1,160$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.56152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa17d…b190backed No72c1,155$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9470…8a30backed Yes62c1,148$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.634100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+96.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc5…da90backed Yes65c1,145$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.71741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x405c…4d30backed No72c1,125$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4581…aed6backed No73c1,098$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes31c1,094$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.621711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-59.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked No69c1,090$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.85812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-83%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b33…054fbacked No73c1,035$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No53c1,033$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.1922242.8%95 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f2…f856backed No72c1,028$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdf9…35f4backed No73c1,006$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e07…e206backed No71c995$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80a9…a488backed Yes27c970$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9619…2705backed Yes28c961$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes23c832.83$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.61728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c1…7fcbbacked Yes27c785$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes65c772.94$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.9435251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x717a…7476backed No67c711.29$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.841154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf771…6874backed Yes27c698$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No67c696.02$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.3416564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes32c695.93$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.663844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee4…ada2backed No71c680$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x916f…cb0fbacked Yes27c677$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked No68c672.13$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.238457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x252c…908fbacked No72c666$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15cf…9fdfbacked No72c654$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…db2bbacked No77c652.38$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8dd…0818backed No72c650$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2edd…8447backed No72c638$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c7…fb64backed Yes60c637.19$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdaa…9347backed No73c614$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d78…2c7fbacked No72c611$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No74c582.34$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9824144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes24c571.76$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.237799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe39b…6ed1backed Yes35c563.91$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122c…b873backed No37c563.16$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62b6…f803backed No72c554$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x606b…ba98backed Yes28c553$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c62…44b4backed Yes61c526.05$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-59.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7577…8fb9backed Yes30c519.97$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.584139%16 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8409…6fe2backed No73c513$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2ce…415fbacked Yes64c502.4$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55bf…e2ddbacked Yes39c492.5$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+155.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1b…92debacked No68c490.72$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5410634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c47…4275backed No72c485$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe700…9266backed No73c480$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb772…7b07backed Yes64c479.53$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes17c460.88$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.781921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes25c449.77$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.8813855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5db5…5703backed Yes28c448$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes25c411.5$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.732937.5%22 W · 271 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5021…8116backed No73c410$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed No63c405.65$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.562560%15 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.239838.8%38 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes31c396.16$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.594740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0116…fdf7backed Yes36c358.6$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…e07dbacked Yes27c357$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e9…be7cbacked Yes37c354.4$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.4616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-54.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe993…8a53backed Yes33c353.67$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c19…7babbacked No67c352.52$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes70c348.68$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.119647.9%46 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe709…9d39backed No38c346.61$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.031136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc063…2af9backed Yes38c335.62$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.01812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-67.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30e1…0f7ebacked Yes29c310$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c3a…a0f0backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.12333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71e1…6bdcbacked No69c288.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.