Fifa International · resolved market
Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe596f80a42391672c0ee629d1e0cdd2c22e7ce10c48d41fe6c077c8b9ebe6450
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 25c | 2,407$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.07 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 24c | 1,672$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.93 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Yes | 76c | 1,412$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.81 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 70c | 900$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 30c | 888.31$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.49 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 30c | 668.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 38c | 462$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.56 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…84b4backed No | 55c | 456.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 44c | 416.89$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.3 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 30c | 401.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.51 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 35c | 285.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 73c | 272.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Yes | 63c | 232.94$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…dcc8backed Yes | 76c | 232.24$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 14c | 225.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 66c | 204.79$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed Yes | 64c | 173.94$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…6eafbacked Yes | 65c | 162.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 69c | 146.35$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 136.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…873cbacked No | 37c | 125.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 76c | 120.13$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…7675backed Yes | 68c | 119.36$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…6f97backed Yes | 65c | 111.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 77c | 110.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de5…e874backed Yes | 72c | 107.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…891ebacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 64c | 95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7470…7a82backed Yes | 75c | 84.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…685abacked Yes | 70c | 80.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…cdc1backed Yes | 76c | 66.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…5946backed Yes | 69c | 65.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…e8afbacked No | 27c | 57.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 64c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…89d4backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3064…641abacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…4c7abacked Yes | 73c | 41.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 65c | 40.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bd…dc0bbacked Yes | 74c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…51eabacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa9…a08cbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…4020backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed No | 38c | 27.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0117…667dbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…f897backed No | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Yes | 77c | 21.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…a116backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2d…cb6bbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…5903backed Yes | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf367…b318backed Yes | 69c | 14.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Albania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Belgium qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Colombia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Croatia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Finland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will New Caledonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will North Macedonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Oman qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Romania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Slovakia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Suriname qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will United Arab Emirates qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Wales qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.