Fifa International · resolved market
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bd45ec765062f8547cf89a0cf000cb08e786c1be086907c3b67cd69871ee561
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 39c | 21,513$8,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,464.39 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 45c | 13,333$6,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,051.85 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 35c | 13,172$4,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557.25 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Yes | 69c | 6,708$4,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed Yes | 57c | 6,122$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed No | 47c | 5,215$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 38c | 4,978$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.1 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 67c | 4,550$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c0…b6a2backed Yes | 55c | 4,522$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.39 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…ad54backed Yes | 55c | 4,075$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 67c | 3,998$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.05 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed Yes | 68c | 3,743$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.27 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 41c | 3,704$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.7 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec4a…a8d8backed Yes | 61c | 3,631$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 55c | 3,622$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.01 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…8ac8backed Yes | 53c | 3,500$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 32c | 2,905$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.49 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 45c | 2,633$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.42 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 36c | 2,205$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.21 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 37c | 2,130$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.48 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 66c | 2,117$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.65 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Yes | 69c | 2,068$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed No | 36c | 2,057$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.92 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…11f0backed No | 42c | 1,926$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb783…64b6backed Yes | 66c | 1,841$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 58c | 1,826$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.93 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,697$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.44 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 45c | 1,682$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.5 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…b42ebacked Yes | 68c | 1,618$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed Yes | 54c | 1,587$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.05 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 70c | 1,516$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.59 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.44 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…e5aebacked Yes | 68c | 1,479$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 69c | 1,478$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.11 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,438$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.01 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,358$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…4c7abacked Yes | 57c | 1,336$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…d281backed Yes | 57c | 1,162$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…19aebacked No | 33c | 1,152$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5447…bd41backed No | 46c | 1,135$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.1 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 43c | 1,110$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…99fdbacked Yes | 55c | 1,104$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 32c | 1,081$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked Yes | 79c | 983.91$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…62a8backed No | 44c | 955$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…069abacked Yes | 54c | 920.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…53a1backed No | 44c | 863.48$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 37c | 859.35$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.09 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 59c | 849.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.1 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 65c | 825.13$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.8 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 38c | 819.95$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.68 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 40c | 761.1$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…9ffebacked Yes | 66c | 758.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 56c | 755.16$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711b…bcecbacked Yes | 67c | 742.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked No | 46c | 711.72$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.77 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 36c | 599.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…c201backed Yes | 52c | 578.78$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Yes | 67c | 525.88$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…02a5backed Yes | 65c | 520$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa096…9397backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 8c | 491.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes | 57c | 487.08$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Yes | 59c | 460$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…7429backed Yes | 55c | 455.04$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.82 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 53c | 444$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.68 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…7e16backed Yes | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 61c | 411.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.74 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 34c | 400.3$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 55c | 360$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 58c | 346.91$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Yes | 59c | 345.48$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 43c | 330$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.4 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc562…7c61backed No | 46c | 323.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…abc0backed No | 47c | 320.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 44c | 319.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ac…cb84backed Yes | 60c | 303.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 64c | 298.6$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…18c7backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 36c | 295.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf76…687cbacked No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 69c | 283.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…ae93backed Yes | 54c | 281.48$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 280.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…e92cbacked Yes | 69c | 278.26$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…ac75backed Yes | 55c | 270.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.68 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…9d2ebacked Yes | 75c | 267.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…5dafbacked No | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked Yes | 60c | 243.67$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…83bdbacked Yes | 69c | 233.75$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked No | 33c | 232$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb9…014fbacked No | 44c | 226.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Albania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Belgium qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Colombia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Croatia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Finland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will New Caledonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will North Macedonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Oman qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Romania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Slovakia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Suriname qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will United Arab Emirates qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Wales qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.