TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c4,214$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.217799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No67c3,808$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.9778927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c72…77e6backed Yes29c3,312$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82e8…7b9abacked Yes28c2,622$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes28c2,500$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.5411945.4%54 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes29c2,402$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.487839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5b…b9f4backed Yes27c2,344$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd889…43fabacked No70c2,163$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No71c2,023$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.1188838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes29c2,015$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.591921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b06…a723backed No69c1,962$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c51…5843backed Yes25c1,652$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c6d…fe4ebacked Yes27c1,650$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1617…39fabacked Yes27c1,650$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.5440%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0e2…7d46backed Yes27c1,650$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked No75c1,626$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-45%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed Yes38c1,600$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6103336.4%12 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x579a…c4c5backed No73c1,580$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa660…b9b2backed No72c1,555$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.82366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No74c1,500$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.9710548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6603…0ca7backed Yes29c1,472$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd8…e65bbacked Yes42c1,392$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c97…32ddbacked No70c1,212$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x372f…a87fbacked No71c1,186$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49de…fa8abacked No74c1,174$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c0…0b7cbacked Yes28c1,150$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c9…c839backed No75c1,099$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4b…f05bbacked No74c1,091$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bfb…905ebacked Yes29c1,059$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdea3…8e33backed No73c1,039$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No69c1,015$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.5634151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No64c1,007$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.5313855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aec…28c1backed Yes12c1,000$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d5…8527backed No74c997$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-66.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd2…7897backed No74c992$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.53450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…e09bbacked No73c921$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+73.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aef…3681backed No74c913$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.93475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d50…e960backed No71c906$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+86.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d44…3fb3backed Yes27c905$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.44333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe39b…6ed1backed Yes29c873.45$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x413a…0008backed Yes30c872.41$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.98812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No72c849.93$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8333555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4b6…8e6fbacked Yes24c844$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf0…1517backed Yes24c844$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1108…c1f9backed Yes24c844$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f62…4d3dbacked Yes24c844$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No64c826.86$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.0426330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No72c819.45$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.458660.5%52 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78e3…a04ebacked Yes27c808$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2f…a67dbacked Yes27c808$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ff…1061backed Yes27c808$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.16333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…9d47backed Yes27c808$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc68f…41c3backed Yes27c808$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec9…72d7backed Yes31c784$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bdd…0013backed Yes31c784$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9919…c51abacked Yes31c784$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6908…ae5bbacked Yes31c784$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd8…c0d7backed Yes31c784$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f2e…2ef6backed Yes31c784$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe13e…5282backed Yes31c784$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c54…0cfdbacked Yes31c784$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e0…38a0backed Yes31c784$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e2…44abbacked Yes31c784$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9121…cf66backed Yes31c784$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked No73c781.41$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.55812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-83%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xece5…e216backed Yes29c778$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe8…16debacked Yes29c778$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0cd…0ed3backed Yes29c778$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd298…684bbacked No74c755$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.58560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes27c742.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f3…4ef5backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4d…a2b8backed No69c704$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4f…ee03backed No69c697$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…c1dbbacked Yes29c694$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee5…18bbbacked Yes29c694$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd785…fafcbacked No69c681$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes23c667.3$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8632629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd09d…92d5backed No73c661$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+107.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc6…ece9backed No69c659$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f9b…b203backed No76c644$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…fa1dbacked No71c643$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.47366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x276c…2e94backed No73c624$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba0f…78debacked No71c622$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82da…6f02backed No76c619$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf7d…8011backed No69c617$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc851…fec5backed No76c614$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78e…1afebacked No73c613$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c6…96b4backed No73c606$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.62520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-72.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cfe…eb78backed No73c602$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.543100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+85.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9623…7189backed No76c601$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed No61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2348537.6%32 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde81…3767backed No71c598$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d9c…f595backed No69c589$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5603…652cbacked Yes27c587$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b95…0f86backed No73c573$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3221…0da0backed No69c568$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+111.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8834…968abacked No69c566$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…4d29backed No69c566$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…1f06backed No74c543$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.18366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aca…2ce1backed No69c537$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.