Fifa International · resolved market
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd9068da0f92022747bdad7a7d522c2f8bec81f0eb61c233eb94b301b3b4c62b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $542,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $541,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $542,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 560 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84c5…413bbacked Yes | 34c | 94,800$32,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,232 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…5c11backed No | 66c | 24,400$16,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,296 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab1…6afbbacked No | 66c | 24,300$16,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,262 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc39…80d9backed No | 66c | 23,100$15,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,854 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130b…6020backed No | 66c | 23,000$15,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,820 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…3092backed No | 68c | 9,067$6,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 40c | 5,434$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.14 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 62c | 3,899$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.03 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x736c…09a3backed No | 66c | 3,697$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…7b07backed Yes | 38c | 3,630$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 63c | 2,866$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.56 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43df…e6e9backed Yes | 38c | 2,613$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.69 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb8…394bbacked Yes | 34c | 2,464$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d06…74b0backed Yes | 34c | 2,362$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…a04ebacked No | 66c | 2,359$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05a…5ef0backed Yes | 34c | 2,350$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276c…2e94backed Yes | 34c | 2,330$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae54…8587backed No | 66c | 2,254$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…7740backed No | 66c | 2,234$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked No | 63c | 2,003$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +299.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b6…8e6fbacked No | 66c | 1,940$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…d451backed No | 66c | 1,926$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 62c | 1,919$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.32 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbef8…ef44backed Yes | 34c | 1,910$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e19…7ca4backed No | 66c | 1,903$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…0234backed Yes | 34c | 1,856$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…e7a4backed No | 66c | 1,806$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…4d17backed Yes | 34c | 1,806$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…d560backed No | 66c | 1,762$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…12ffbacked Yes | 34c | 1,745$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae1…389ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,739$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce7…c57dbacked No | 66c | 1,737$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…3681backed No | 66c | 1,717$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2f…a67dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,715$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…02b7backed Yes | 34c | 1,694$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb6…452ebacked No | 66c | 1,674$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…ada2backed Yes | 35c | 1,614$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…8a30backed No | 62c | 1,605$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…9fbabacked Yes | 34c | 1,584$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 63c | 1,566$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.66 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0546backed Yes | 34c | 1,562$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…f05bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,548$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…0b7cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,548$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…9d47backed No | 66c | 1,544$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x327f…bbddbacked Yes | 34c | 1,534$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…4d3dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,534$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7897backed Yes | 31c | 1,503$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 32c | 1,500$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes | 34c | 1,454$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.79 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf662…1cb9backed No | 66c | 1,446$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 35c | 1,446$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.33 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…fec5backed Yes | 35c | 1,430$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9623…7189backed No | 66c | 1,347$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5603…652cbacked No | 66c | 1,332$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes | 37c | 1,316$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -83%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…6ecabacked No | 66c | 1,305$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 1,279$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 65c | 1,238$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.59 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 1,209$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.85 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6d…fe4ebacked No | 69c | 1,199$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5882…4314backed No | 69c | 1,185$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c32…69f6backed No | 65c | 1,183$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6361…a45abacked No | 66c | 1,159$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba13…746bbacked No | 69c | 1,148$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a4…4813backed Yes | 35c | 1,142$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82b…dfa0backed Yes | 34c | 1,139$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…5986backed Yes | 31c | 1,114$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…a6f1backed No | 65c | 1,095$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1108…c1f9backed Yes | 35c | 1,076$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…abb2backed Yes | 36c | 1,070$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…15a2backed No | 69c | 1,070$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…5b5abacked No | 66c | 1,063$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…81b2backed Yes | 34c | 1,062$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…1428backed No | 66c | 1,055$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d5…8527backed Yes | 34c | 1,053$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…272ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,048$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…c9abbacked No | 66c | 1,044$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1174…c81ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,043$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…1f06backed No | 69c | 1,040$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa387…7737backed No | 75c | 1,028$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b95…0f86backed Yes | 34c | 1,028$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a48…db11backed Yes | 34c | 1,023$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98b…a0ccbacked Yes | 31c | 1,007$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bd…bc21backed No | 67c | 1,004$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3357…b3d5backed Yes | 35c | 1,004$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c31abacked Yes | 40c | 1,001$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.36 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f0…8af3backed No | 66c | 999$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6f…04cebacked No | 69c | 989$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2d…a919backed No | 66c | 945$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 37c | 937.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…e09bbacked No | 69c | 927$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb60…60f1backed Yes | 31c | 916$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…833abacked No | 66c | 883$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…77e6backed Yes | 31c | 867$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…8996backed Yes | 31c | 865$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…8e8fbacked Yes | 34c | 838$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68f…41c3backed No | 66c | 799$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Albania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Belgium qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Colombia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Croatia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Finland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will New Caledonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will North Macedonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Oman qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Romania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Slovakia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Suriname qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will United Arab Emirates qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Wales qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.