Fifa International · resolved market
Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa49ed4d4d076cb71f2075a1a8a6719780b916d2df248943fa3b2380c73448e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 49c | 541.42$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.13 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…737ebacked No | 51c | 392.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed No | 23c | 287.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Yes | 64c | 280.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 44c | 273.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.71 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 20c | 257.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked No | 49c | 256.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.81 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 39c | 256.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.78 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 12c | 220.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 55c | 187.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…9225backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…70f5backed Yes | 67c | 149.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…3b9fbacked Yes | 76c | 133.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…873cbacked No | 60c | 130$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…e036backed No | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked No | 44c | 102.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 18c | 101.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed No | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 46c | 99.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf491…6a0bbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 25c | 85.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…7e15backed Yes | 75c | 80.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +101%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…8b40backed Yes | 72c | 77.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed No | 37c | 77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8d…f5d3backed Yes | 75c | 75.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…4fd0backed Yes | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…020abacked Yes | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…d3c7backed No | 45c | 67.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 39c | 66.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 42c | 66.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 23c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 69c | 61.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 49c | 51.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…dcc8backed Yes | 65c | 51.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…3f22backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…aa0ebacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Yes | 63c | 47.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2d…cb6bbacked Yes | 51c | 47.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Yes | 63c | 47.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…4c7abacked Yes | 68c | 43.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…eb84backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 41.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3570…3e6fbacked Yes | 54c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed No | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 75c | 38.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6824…d483backed Yes | 73c | 37.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…5f97backed Yes | 39c | 34.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x837f…1644backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…8289backed Yes | 73c | 26.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Yes | 53c | 25.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…187fbacked Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed No | 72c | 21.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…e42bbacked No | 51c | 20.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…3f34backed No | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Yes | 76c | 17.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed Yes | 75c | 16.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed Yes | 65c | 16.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Albania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Belgium qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Colombia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Croatia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Finland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will New Caledonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will North Macedonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Oman qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Romania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Slovakia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Suriname qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will United Arab Emirates qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Wales qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.