TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c1e…020a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7540%30 W · 45 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+519.7%+$413.35
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.63
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$158.33
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$241.88
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$52.09
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$298.03
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$177.97
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.78
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$48.5
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+241.3%+$388.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+76.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$115
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$137.6
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$32.57
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$28.8
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+149%+$17.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.