Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x814657a16a3c5b39834864251372e30f68ddcd0f040c5c6a83a52cddb2c35226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,009,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,019,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,009,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 338,676$259,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,916.45 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 18c | 257,873$45,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,945.1 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 63c | 218,892$137,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,743.85 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…9969backed No | 18c | 175,945$31,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,576.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked No | 33c | 144,692$47,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,956.43 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 20c | 142,620$28,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,496.53 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 65c | 142,271$92,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,137.1 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 16c | 118,068$18,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,907.81 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 46c | 75,301$34,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,785.91 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25c…6430backed Yes | 26c | 64,557$16,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,932.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb7…3b83backed Yes | 45c | 51,830$23,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,236.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 11c | 51,163$5,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,745.87 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f8…316dbacked No | 4c | 50,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +1,234.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 47c | 46,657$22,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,094.01 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…d114backed No | 72c | 41,821$29,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,915.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2a…b87fbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed No | 73c | 38,785$28,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,339.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…45f7backed Yes | 58c | 37,290$21,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,527.08 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 40c | 36,301$14,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,551.52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 61c | 36,000$22,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,932.77 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Yes | 42c | 35,348$14,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,824.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 35c | 31,918$11,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,094.78 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…2c49backed Yes | 19c | 31,896$5,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,915.07 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…717ebacked Yes | 63c | 30,434$19,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,067.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 65c | 30,280$19,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,469.39 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 15c | 26,912$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,874.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +201.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 53c | 26,775$14,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,121.88 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…8178backed No | 23c | 26,062$6,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,046.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…9351backed Yes | 28c | 24,575$6,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,803.57 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked No | 29c | 23,974$6,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,017.68 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 26c | 23,500$6,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,072.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…b66dbacked Yes | 19c | 23,238$4,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe043…faa2backed Yes | 17c | 23,222$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed No | 33c | 22,943$7,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,430.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked No | 31c | 21,928$6,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,226.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 77c | 21,450$16,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,848.72 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 34c | 21,000$7,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,126.73 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…8031backed Yes | 19c | 20,652$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Yes | 64c | 20,367$13,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,041.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b28…5d7cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 21c | 19,953$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.52 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 35c | 19,327$6,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,625.68 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed No | 66c | 18,848$12,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,432.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Yes | 16c | 18,472$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.67 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 33c | 18,311$6,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,038.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 10c | 18,001$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.2 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes | 27c | 17,132$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 54c | 17,093$9,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,178.47 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 33c | 16,764$5,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,236.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +192%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked Yes | 53c | 16,666$8,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,785.33 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 11c | 16,600$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 18c | 16,355$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.55 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…e215backed Yes | 47c | 15,888$7,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,542.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…b24bbacked Yes | 59c | 15,697$9,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,269.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 8c | 15,555$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.29 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 8c | 15,442$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.2 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…03a2backed Yes | 37c | 15,435$5,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,764 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked No | 10c | 15,345$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,758.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 80c | 15,189$12,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca72…30cdbacked Yes | 13c | 15,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…7c43backed Yes | 58c | 14,771$8,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,625.45 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 49c | 14,543$7,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,433.66 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed Yes | 43c | 14,239$6,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,105.04 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 33c | 13,912$4,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,316.98 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Yes | 23c | 13,874$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.37 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…9f97backed Yes | 54c | 13,782$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…0a46backed No | 79c | 13,671$10,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.99 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Yes | 53c | 13,521$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked Yes | 16c | 13,467$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.55 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 26c | 13,414$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.55 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed No | 68c | 13,210$9,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,184.73 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…eddabacked Yes | 45c | 13,191$5,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,958.17 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc0…6b22backed Yes | 39c | 12,905$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,044.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…8363backed No | 61c | 12,905$7,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,045.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…e8b3backed Yes | 11c | 12,723$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.16 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…ee4dbacked No | 46c | 12,475$5,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,736.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked Yes | 21c | 12,408$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca1…a192backed Yes | 62c | 12,384$7,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,658.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…2cdabacked Yes | 61c | 11,795$7,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,165.12 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…043abacked Yes | 30c | 11,400$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…46e5backed Yes | 42c | 11,387$4,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,739.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 11,371$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,919.84 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf018…f0b4backed No | 72c | 11,139$8,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…8803backed No | 65c | 11,098$7,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…e3e9backed Yes | 40c | 11,000$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 47c | 10,985$5,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,859.44 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked No | 49c | 10,975$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,574.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…8e3dbacked Yes | 80c | 10,862$8,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,689.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…dc03backed Yes | 12c | 10,551$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…54e4backed Yes | 35c | 10,273$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…ae12backed Yes | 56c | 10,202$5,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,710.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 61cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…6ca1backed No | 59c | 10,111$5,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.3 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 72c | 9,917$7,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.95 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 14c | 9,595$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.74 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…0b9abacked Yes | 24c | 9,558$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…ed0dbacked No | 59c | 9,532$5,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,874.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…adb6backed No | 72c | 9,514$6,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 15c | 9,436$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.12 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed No | 49c | 9,341$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,741.46 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 20c | 9,271$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.09 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.