Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf963ec4b153e66668dd9e038a2cb258a3d228fde87efdcde95e1e3e8fc6ec56a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,069,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,669,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,069,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,866 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 7c | 189,584$12,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,898.2 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 6c | 131,919$8,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,523.17 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 6c | 110,126$7,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,065.22 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 13c | 58,601$7,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,862.66 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f09…76e4backed Yes | 10c | 52,267$5,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,395.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…6cb0backed Yes | 13c | 51,340$6,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,535.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…5b3fbacked Yes | 7c | 48,992$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 10c | 43,046$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,138.47 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…8a95backed No | 72c | 42,962$31,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,849.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 5c | 40,052$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.93 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 22c | 38,446$8,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,622.13 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb3…02bfbacked No | 47c | 33,483$15,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,741.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 1c | 33,287$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47a…6d60backed No | 70c | 31,567$21,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,571.07 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…47c9backed Yes | 31c | 31,139$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 14c | 26,924$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.56 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 31c | 25,554$8,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,012.36 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…2246backed Yes | 3c | 23,828$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…9b5cbacked Yes | 8c | 23,555$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 4c | 23,276$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.94 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…eb1abacked No | 64c | 21,104$13,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,520.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked No | 75c | 20,695$15,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 18c | 20,241$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5835…3beebacked Yes | 7c | 19,580$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 76c | 18,000$13,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.75 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…35c9backed Yes | 2c | 17,201$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac4…9757backed Yes | 4c | 17,110$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…e215backed Yes | 24c | 16,942$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…0960backed Yes | 18c | 16,090$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Yes | 35c | 15,982$5,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,566.51 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 11c | 15,953$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.3 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 4c | 15,463$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.28 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 48c | 15,375$7,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,946.64 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 80c | 14,825$11,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 2c | 14,820$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.94 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5475…bafdbacked Yes | 4c | 14,228$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 28c | 13,669$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf600…5015backed Yes | 21c | 13,600$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…18e5backed Yes | 19c | 13,553$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…a994backed Yes | 3c | 13,358$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 41c | 13,345$5,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,504 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 14c | 13,122$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.59 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 4c | 13,001$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.95 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…b294backed Yes | 48c | 12,998$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240.07 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes | 38c | 12,995$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…9351backed Yes | 27c | 12,395$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.48 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d4…2037backed No | 79c | 11,219$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 10,728$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.92 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…5cf6backed Yes | 62c | 10,165$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes | 28c | 10,133$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa75f…433abacked Yes | 29c | 10,000$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…54e4backed Yes | 14c | 9,988$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…5ea1backed Yes | 19c | 9,459$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 16c | 9,437$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.55 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…e8b3backed Yes | 25c | 9,218$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.25 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 39c | 9,030$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba6…3567backed Yes | 16c | 8,878$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 3c | 8,818$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.21 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1a…bf63backed Yes | 8c | 8,765$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.44 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7751backed Yes | 3c | 8,762$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Yes | 29c | 8,667$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…4925backed Yes | 12c | 8,623$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 21c | 8,602$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.41 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Yes | 41c | 8,228$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 8,087$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.18 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…a205backed No | 50c | 8,014$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 7,574$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.17 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5abd…b58fbacked Yes | 16c | 7,375$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 5c | 7,100$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 62c | 7,019$4,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.53 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed No | 76c | 6,924$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…6a0abacked Yes | 31c | 6,713$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 6,699$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.31 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f5…16e6backed Yes | 26c | 6,576$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked Yes | 4c | 6,526$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.3 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 6,364$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 81 | 2.5%2 W · 79 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 41c | 6,307$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.91 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…9969backed No | 56c | 6,266$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked Yes | 55c | 6,213$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.57 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 24c | 6,184$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.23 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 3c | 6,002$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.13 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 76c | 6,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 53c | 5,800$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Yes | 30c | 5,733$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc438…3ae6backed No | 72c | 5,700$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…5bf1backed Yes | 74c | 5,697$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9604…fc1dbacked Yes | 31c | 5,655$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Yes | 10c | 5,500$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…f760backed Yes | 4c | 5,415$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…b3f6backed Yes | 18c | 5,402$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.46 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c870backed Yes | 15c | 5,349$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…5cc2backed Yes | 2c | 5,283$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 5c | 5,266$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.43 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…0cbfbacked Yes | 3c | 5,199$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…0df4backed Yes | 2c | 5,193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed No | 53c | 5,118$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.96 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.54per pick | 35cpaid | +218.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…fd37backed Yes | 13c | 5,007$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 17c | 5,000$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.