Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c310d728433d9a05226274b29ca4540cb908e4e94bf9795f25c69f9d5a72d70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,863,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,863,231 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf396…ed0dbacked No | 0c | 1,609,593$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 0c | 1,184,865$5,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,703.46 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…74c3backed No | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972e…4665backed No | 1c | 500,000$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…fb0fbacked No | 0c | 452,659$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…c241backed No | 0c | 385,170$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…e6d0backed No | 0c | 357,977$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…fb34backed No | 0c | 310,848$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.72 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…e26ebacked No | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed No | 0c | 280,998$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa09d…b7fdbacked No | 0c | 244,000$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5c…e416backed No | 0c | 229,040$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1874…09c7backed No | 0c | 225,882$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…a456backed No | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…374cbacked No | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed No | 0c | 152,886$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…c0a4backed No | 0c | 130,783$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.58 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…0eabbacked No | 0c | 115,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…c876backed No | 0c | 113,060$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.62 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…c0e1backed No | 0c | 109,648$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b76…c271backed No | 0c | 100,058$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aff…ed85backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…980abacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…c2a5backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…387fbacked No | 0c | 95,232$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb566…bb25backed No | 0c | 95,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…f2fcbacked No | 0c | 93,460$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked No | 2c | 88,453$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.87 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…7c21backed No | 0c | 85,126$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0e…9818backed No | 0c | 80,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56c…735abacked No | 0c | 75,000$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebf…cdeebacked No | 0c | 73,530$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3643…46a5backed No | 0c | 66,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…cf96backed No | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd833…dd11backed No | 0c | 57,560$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e9…be7cbacked No | 0c | 55,855$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…f442backed No | 0c | 55,425$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df6…1edabacked No | 0c | 55,000$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b67…444ebacked No | 0c | 54,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed No | 0c | 51,600$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…b803backed No | 0c | 51,508$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…2828backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…bfdebacked No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1079…ca89backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…8509backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa919…7251backed No | 0c | 49,995$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…983abacked No | 0c | 49,950$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf018…f0b4backed No | 0c | 49,750$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…c9f7backed No | 0c | 46,544$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…49e3backed No | 0c | 45,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…3bdcbacked No | 0c | 41,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…2af7backed No | 0c | 41,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…eb0ebacked No | 0c | 39,550$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b8…76a8backed No | 0c | 38,670$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed No | 0c | 32,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed No | 2c | 31,135$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.7 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…0b97backed No | 0c | 30,017$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…afcdbacked No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…1af4backed No | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…64ffbacked No | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ba…adb3backed No | 0c | 27,945$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…ef05backed No | 0c | 25,493$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…a6b2backed No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…2351backed No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…5817backed No | 9c | 24,210$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…09c4backed No | 0c | 23,815$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615b…284cbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbb…7d73backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…2974backed No | 0c | 19,850$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…f386backed No | 0c | 18,790$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d4…b54ebacked No | 0c | 18,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…9ae7backed No | 0c | 18,112$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…915abacked No | 0c | 18,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 17,839$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d84…2c67backed No | 0c | 17,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff6…1369backed No | 0c | 17,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 17c | 17,112$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.67 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…a15bbacked No | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 60c | 16,688$10,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,077.43 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 16,481$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 77c | 15,412$11,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.3 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ed…db2fbacked No | 0c | 15,410$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda19…32bbbacked No | 0c | 15,407$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x053d…caedbacked No | 0c | 14,990$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001d…7ac4backed No | 0c | 14,910$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 70c | 14,871$10,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,456.58 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…f57abacked No | 1c | 13,994$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad6…bf78backed No | 0c | 13,835$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…ae16backed No | 0c | 13,490$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x925e…1188backed No | 0c | 12,925$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…0388backed No | 0c | 12,460$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…6bcdbacked No | 0c | 12,407$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…d634backed No | 0c | 12,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe8…d706backed No | 0c | 11,965$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 36c | 11,898$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,603.4 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…4d68backed No | 17c | 11,861$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…6469backed No | 1c | 11,381$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Yes | 80c | 11,363$9,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…3094backed No | 0c | 11,305$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.