Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38f808d62ffb605305310cb866a96c98b535b415ba301ecbd782d73bce10fa40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,823,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,823,704 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed No | 1c | 519,251$5,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,437.82 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked No | 0c | 490,065$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 0c | 405,526$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.96 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked No | 0c | 240,423$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.51 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…7bcebacked No | 0c | 192,497$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…5c33backed No | 1c | 158,304$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 5cpaid | +887.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…e41abacked No | 0c | 153,989$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked No | 1c | 153,617$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.61 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…9969backed No | 0c | 125,083$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked No | 0c | 120,348$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.37 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked No | 0c | 83,333$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84b…7212backed No | 0c | 79,373$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 0c | 70,783$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.51 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 3c | 70,482$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…7b6cbacked No | 0c | 58,343$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…248abacked No | 0c | 57,986$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…697ebacked No | 1c | 57,027$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…5f35backed No | 1c | 52,955$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…aaaabacked No | 1c | 50,568$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca72…30cdbacked No | 6c | 50,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…bc56backed No | 0c | 48,780$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…af55backed No | 1c | 47,070$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…d9babacked No | 0c | 44,795$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…9f84backed No | 3c | 41,583$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf7…7eb4backed No | 0c | 40,425$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3269…37d7backed No | 0c | 36,680$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 1c | 36,557$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…c53abacked No | 1c | 36,500$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…1068backed No | 0c | 33,686$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…4391backed No | 1c | 33,684$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbe…60bcbacked No | 0c | 33,042$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…8545backed No | 1c | 31,789$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…2e1ebacked No | 0c | 30,725$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702c…b1e6backed No | 1c | 28,378$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.39 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…fe3bbacked No | 0c | 28,112$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8221…9207backed No | 0c | 27,308$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 26,401$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1217…7cf5backed No | 1c | 25,132$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ac…ba11backed No | 0c | 23,200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba9…cb2cbacked No | 1c | 22,006$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.32 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -91.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f6…a4a1backed No | 1c | 21,756$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b65…05b3backed No | 0c | 21,543$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…1d00backed No | 2c | 20,472$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.75 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed No | 1c | 20,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbb…0c72backed No | 0c | 20,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2319…f9b4backed No | 1c | 19,972$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…de16backed No | 0c | 19,409$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…5c31backed No | 0c | 19,331$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7309…4967backed No | 2c | 18,280$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…ff3ebacked No | 6c | 18,211$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08af…0c53backed No | 0c | 18,051$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…0867backed No | 1c | 17,963$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…265dbacked No | 0c | 17,347$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…153dbacked No | 0c | 16,592$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 1c | 15,806$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…a10dbacked No | 11c | 15,361$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…dae9backed No | 1c | 15,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…ce2bbacked No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked No | 1c | 14,600$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…3072backed No | 1c | 14,500$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…5962backed No | 0c | 13,647$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4da…6482backed No | 0c | 12,608$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed No | 0c | 12,569$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…9feabacked No | 0c | 12,567$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed No | 1c | 12,463$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…22febacked No | 1c | 11,919$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…5932backed No | 0c | 11,667$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 12c | 11,479$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.96 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47e…c825backed No | 0c | 11,260$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bb…fc23backed No | 0c | 11,250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cc…c448backed No | 0c | 11,135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…be4abacked No | 1c | 10,592$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…020dbacked No | 0c | 10,370$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…298bbacked No | 1c | 10,262$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…d0eabacked No | 1c | 10,260$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…bf1ebacked No | 1c | 10,102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b15…7cacbacked No | 2c | 10,036$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3907…c4b8backed No | 0c | 10,024$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…e9bebacked No | 0c | 10,024$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…9d7fbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0f…5d37backed No | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0427…a0c7backed No | 0c | 9,984$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…d2acbacked No | 0c | 9,909$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…b9c7backed No | 0c | 9,402$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…b3a8backed No | 1c | 9,340$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 9,250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…9274backed No | 0c | 9,167$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 0c | 8,571$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed No | 8c | 8,338$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1e…ee58backed No | 0c | 8,036$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe754…19f4backed No | 0c | 8,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…04b7backed No | 1c | 7,897$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9623…faa0backed No | 0c | 7,533$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f36…ca70backed No | 0c | 7,250$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b75…901cbacked No | 1c | 7,143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebf…fbddbacked No | 0c | 7,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…167ebacked No | 0c | 6,925$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.