Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14aae19ed36c60c3c723b2a77427381e0f6796849a1bc87b55b7c7db7099559c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,182,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,182,837 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,051 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedd6…c6babacked No | 0c | 410,130$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…c16abacked No | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fb…0eacbacked No | 0c | 245,299$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed No | 0c | 219,098$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…7801backed No | 0c | 218,938$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…4056backed No | 0c | 209,250$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…00abbacked No | 0c | 199,800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 0c | 167,288$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.29 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…0cfdbacked No | 0c | 132,998$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…d6bfbacked No | 0c | 82,600$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad8…6be0backed No | 1c | 51,100$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…c689backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 0c | 43,770$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0e…c0bfbacked No | 0c | 39,995$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 0c | 38,968$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…1be8backed No | 0c | 33,558$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…94c0backed No | 0c | 33,486$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…1efebacked No | 61c | 32,786$19,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…9634backed No | 0c | 32,414$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…d29dbacked No | 0c | 31,200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked No | 55c | 25,182$13,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,904.61 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…f7cebacked No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd536…6659backed No | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…7d9dbacked No | 3c | 21,850$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…1da8backed No | 1c | 21,111$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…f022backed Yes | 45c | 20,858$9,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,492.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378b…4c2cbacked No | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked No | 1c | 19,436$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…0cfebacked No | 1c | 15,668$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed No | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…680fbacked No | 0c | 14,417$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 4c | 13,867$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.25 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…d543backed No | 0c | 13,191$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…ed58backed No | 0c | 12,150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…9feabacked No | 0c | 12,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 62c | 11,831$7,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,384.92 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 39c | 11,717$4,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,089.44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 21c | 11,695$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.66 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…0fd8backed No | 0c | 11,376$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…d55bbacked Yes | 65c | 10,697$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 31c | 10,692$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.58 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 41c | 9,556$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,626.64 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…d9bdbacked Yes | 53c | 9,328$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 9,261$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5469…34edbacked No | 0c | 9,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…57c0backed No | 4c | 8,896$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.28 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…a2f8backed No | 20c | 8,670$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 62c | 7,736$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.84 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 55c | 7,600$4,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158.93 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…46e5backed Yes | 42c | 7,476$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…1d61backed Yes | 39c | 7,400$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Yes | 80c | 7,090$5,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.33 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f2…ac3cbacked No | 0c | 6,900$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…45f7backed Yes | 44c | 6,852$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…5a1bbacked No | 45c | 6,789$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 4c | 6,538$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.66 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f5…16e6backed Yes | 47c | 6,386$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.56 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…2dcfbacked Yes | 45c | 6,280$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…cbe8backed Yes | 49c | 6,124$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 38c | 6,053$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755.61 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 5,944$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed No | 2c | 5,796$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 29c | 5,768$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.18 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…9accbacked No | 63c | 5,477$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,477.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 14c | 5,298$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.05 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Yes | 56c | 5,216$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed No | 54c | 5,171$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…eddabacked Yes | 79c | 5,143$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 34c | 5,103$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.3 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…fe85backed No | 0c | 5,003$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e633backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…a9b9backed No | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 4,750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 3c | 4,730$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.54 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…4042backed Yes | 45c | 4,694$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…58c7backed No | 61c | 4,600$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,806 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 58c | 4,591$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.41 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked Yes | 56c | 4,377$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.05 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb448…da3ebacked No | 0c | 4,192$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 65c | 4,120$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 78c | 3,948$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…b150backed No | 0c | 3,842$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…eaa7backed Yes | 42c | 3,825$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 3c | 3,632$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 41c | 3,617$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.64 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…86ffbacked No | 0c | 3,550$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1120…47bfbacked No | 51c | 3,531$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.68 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7159…c63ebacked No | 1c | 3,516$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 52c | 3,463$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.39 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 56c | 3,400$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.81 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Yes | 52c | 3,390$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 37c | 3,210$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.5 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…0614backed Yes | 75c | 3,173$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.05 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x705a…1678backed No | 17c | 3,119$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +115%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed No | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 29c | 2,885$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.