Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc10e534fc502ef71730b3bd829c51d1d73d2caa40b547b0ae3899f23a23223bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,322,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,133,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,322,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 607 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 10c | 81,749$7,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,779.37 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…e215backed Yes | 16c | 62,831$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 2c | 49,572$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.26 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…413fbacked Yes | 0c | 49,523$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 26c | 49,395$12,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,718.58 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 39,662$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 33c | 38,000$12,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,547.03 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked Yes | 11c | 26,232$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.15 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…804ebacked Yes | 9c | 26,074$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.13 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 1c | 25,537$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.76 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…9439backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c41…d286backed Yes | 1c | 18,246$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 30c | 16,997$5,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,061.42 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9e…3a0ebacked No | 63c | 15,235$9,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,621.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 13c | 13,443$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.09 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…45f7backed Yes | 38c | 13,210$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked Yes | 37c | 11,110$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,120.49 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…f719backed Yes | 1c | 10,876$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 35c | 10,342$3,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.27 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 0c | 10,121$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…6a12backed Yes | 27c | 10,088$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…129abacked No | 75c | 9,737$7,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Yes | 2c | 9,057$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…50e9backed Yes | 18c | 8,874$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca72…30cdbacked Yes | 47c | 8,753$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked Yes | 26c | 7,682$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 37c | 7,653$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.13 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…cdcbbacked No | 65c | 7,629$4,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes | 24c | 7,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x053e…1e27backed Yes | 40c | 7,435$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 46c | 6,456$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.23 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…57c0backed Yes | 21c | 6,002$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.65 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…94c8backed Yes | 25c | 6,000$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 65c | 6,000$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.98 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…444cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,444$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 22c | 5,132$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.59 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5aafbacked No | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae2…426fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,687$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 11c | 4,593$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.44 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 16c | 4,582$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.57 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 61c | 4,045$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…b9f7backed Yes | 20c | 4,032$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Yes | 43c | 3,959$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.58 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 4c | 3,882$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 14c | 3,803$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.05 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Yes | 41c | 3,631$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.16 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 6c | 3,593$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.32 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 3,569$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.21 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 20c | 3,497$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b57…20b1backed No | 80c | 3,433$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed No | 50c | 3,262$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.74 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x258a…3cf4backed Yes | 3c | 3,235$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…c7a1backed No | 53c | 2,905$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…4a62backed Yes | 32c | 2,829$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed No | 60c | 2,827$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…11aabacked Yes | 5c | 2,817$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…cd27backed Yes | 4c | 2,782$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6d…f901backed Yes | 2c | 2,753$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…099ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,744$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed No | 56c | 2,676$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.57 | 304 | 43.4%132 W · 172 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 2,619$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…e13cbacked No | 68c | 2,568$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.62 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…097dbacked No | 67c | 2,513$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 19c | 2,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 74c | 2,491$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.67 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 78c | 2,399$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.1 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 17c | 2,375$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,324$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 35c | 2,201$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.25 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d42…aeaabacked Yes | 21c | 2,143$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13a…a600backed Yes | 47c | 2,123$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.42 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 74c | 2,099$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.78 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…4a8fbacked Yes | 0c | 2,090$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,029$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…1fa8backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.8 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…7e3fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…352abacked No | 72c | 1,841$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.73 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…7145backed Yes | 3c | 1,803$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,800$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc977…74dcbacked Yes | 22c | 1,795$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…67e3backed Yes | 50c | 1,750$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.39 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605e…de5cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,710$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…8fc6backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 1,663$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed No | 54c | 1,626$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed No | 56c | 1,606$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 1,600$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed No | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked No | 78c | 1,600$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…5c3dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,588$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 80c | 1,556$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.71 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed No | 48c | 1,547$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.43 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 1,510$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 81 | 2.5%2 W · 79 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked Yes | 32c | 1,493$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.26 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 19c | 1,435$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.55 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…bf17backed Yes | 20c | 1,400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.