Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6890c707d1e327b006b9511bdba8c98ec4e4978646c6ffcf3ec8750c26a666a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,711,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,821,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,711,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 66c | 237,147$157,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157,095.5 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 38c | 121,814$46,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,810.14 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 22c | 111,987$25,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,015.59 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…9969backed No | 13c | 111,204$14,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,792.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked No | 57c | 99,399$56,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,728.48 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…e215backed Yes | 60c | 86,900$52,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,154.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…8178backed No | 15c | 68,802$10,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,142.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…46c8backed No | 26c | 68,100$17,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,666.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +290.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9e…3a0ebacked No | 74c | 62,016$45,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,154.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…7c31backed Yes | 17c | 55,638$9,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,577.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…ff10backed Yes | 9c | 55,340$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 24c | 50,855$12,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,355.7 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked No | 20c | 50,677$10,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,404.01 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…d114backed No | 65c | 48,970$31,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,259.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 40c | 47,101$18,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,708.9 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 38c | 46,623$17,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,703.71 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…eddabacked Yes | 35c | 43,161$15,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,272.75 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed No | 40c | 38,619$15,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,296.51 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 72c | 38,353$27,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,662.91 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…80b9backed No | 9c | 37,400$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,049.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +458%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 20c | 36,273$7,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,342.67 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed No | 4c | 33,572$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,364.36 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…9c23backed No | 75c | 33,256$24,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,410.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed No | 76c | 30,548$23,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,344.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 20c | 28,951$5,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,673.14 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 51c | 27,942$14,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,726.85 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked No | 25c | 26,624$6,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,072.25 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…c803backed No | 50c | 26,365$13,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,089.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 54c | 25,299$13,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,723.85 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked No | 73c | 24,773$17,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,775.44 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ee…8eeabacked Yes | 74c | 23,950$17,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,818.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed No | 62c | 23,662$14,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,101.61 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…3783backed Yes | 74c | 23,200$17,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,260.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…7fe9backed Yes | 13c | 22,892$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 76c | 21,972$16,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,307.28 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked No | 50c | 21,194$10,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.56 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…c815backed Yes | 74c | 20,950$15,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,586.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed No | 68c | 20,350$13,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,585.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 36c | 20,000$7,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,801.01 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…fb34backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca72…30cdbacked Yes | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 37c | 19,381$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.99 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 26c | 19,378$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,420.55 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…ee4dbacked No | 32c | 19,289$6,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,116.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 19,050$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 48c | 18,911$9,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,065.87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc2…1e51backed Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 54c | 17,452$9,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,098.92 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed No | 24c | 16,904$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,789.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3b…1f54backed No | 44c | 16,660$7,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,369.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80fe…b25bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 73c | 15,000$10,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,900 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 52c | 15,000$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,849.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25c…6430backed Yes | 57c | 14,765$8,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,465.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…129abacked No | 79c | 14,658$11,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…df66backed No | 67c | 13,824$9,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,578.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 12c | 13,809$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,159.38 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 4c | 13,720$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,137.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +192%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…a90abacked No | 63c | 13,674$8,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…309ebacked No | 53c | 13,513$7,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,404.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…ed0dbacked No | 42c | 13,273$5,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,747.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 32c | 13,252$4,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.6 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 48c | 12,730$6,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…4d68backed Yes | 38c | 12,533$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 30c | 12,161$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,548.92 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 68c | 12,044$8,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.18 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 80c | 11,942$9,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,525.42 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 32c | 11,884$3,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,068.77 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 33c | 11,765$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,879.81 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed No | 26c | 11,764$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,733.41 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.54per pick | 35cpaid | +218.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…0e62backed No | 63c | 11,721$7,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,344.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed No | 54c | 11,690$6,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,337.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 49c | 11,667$5,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,766.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 20c | 11,602$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.54 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 30c | 11,493$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,046.99 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed Yes | 67c | 11,460$7,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,645.32 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 15c | 11,192$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,564.97 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 35c | 11,141$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,197.32 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f1…83dcbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…5580backed No | 53c | 10,600$5,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,958.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…d823backed No | 71c | 10,500$7,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…4a8fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,311$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 52c | 10,227$5,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,323.66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 14c | 10,010$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.88 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…c187backed No | 49c | 10,000$4,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,087.87 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…f529backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b23…533abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 43c | 9,680$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,505.66 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 80c | 9,592$7,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,625.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed No | 13c | 9,529$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,272.74 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…333fbacked Yes | 56c | 9,247$5,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,191.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…6f18backed Yes | 23c | 9,202$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.14 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked No | 32c | 9,141$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.59 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 46c | 8,936$4,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 44c | 8,868$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,960.14 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 38c | 8,459$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.39 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…ae12backed Yes | 74c | 8,411$6,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,230.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 61cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 46c | 8,364$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846.51 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked No | 52c | 8,355$4,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,968.83 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed No | 22c | 8,273$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,426.38 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.