TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3335…309e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3432.4%11 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+497%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.89
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.04
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$673.08
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.79
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+10,497%+$5,248.48
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+4,066.7%+$813.33
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$246.79
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,934.31
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$724.68
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+193.8%+$1,593.67
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+127.1%+$1,334.79
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.96
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.15
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$556.7
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+3,531.8%+$16,466.33
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+67%+$115.92
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.32
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+226.4%+$982.09
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.84
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$17.24
Germany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.84
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$31.54
Morocco to score first vs. Scotland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.84
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$61.07
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.31
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$32.25
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.33
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.8
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$65.19
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.73
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.7
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$832.01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$178.97
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$52.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$6,404.33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,048Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$2,561.58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11,611Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,610.93
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-75.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$923Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+146.6%+$1,353.3
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.46
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.87
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Dartbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$21.21
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Little Rock: Enzo Aguiard vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.36
Little Rock: Johannus Monday vs Aidan Mayobacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.23
Chisinau: Andrej Nedic vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Roland Garros ATP: Emilio Nava vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$62.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.7
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katerina Siniakova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$136.21
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreevabacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.52
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$196.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.