TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,253,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,438,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,253,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 939 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee67…ef38backed Yes57c212,586$120,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,615.229323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c156,361$66,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,428.664,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes58c128,326$74,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,825.5319644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No43c126,742$54,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,627.023,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked No43c99,999$43,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,999.6215249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Yes56c79,326$44,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,903.274178%32 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No42c66,863$28,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,082.496448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Yes62c55,894$34,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,094.315044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No43c46,720$20,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,130.7129740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes58c36,808$21,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,573.651,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes59c33,797$19,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,023.588,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Yes57c30,000$17,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,899.9327845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked No42c24,532$10,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,303.136050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No43c19,365$8,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,290.282,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes58c17,241$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,241.383818.4%7 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No42c16,375$6,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,917.9856541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c16,181$6,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,385.653,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Yes57c16,000$9,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8804734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No42c15,000$6,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,349.8774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No31c14,381$4,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,413.181,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed No40c13,262$5,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,354.933345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Yes57c11,517$6,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,952.276154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Yes58c10,082$5,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,234.67545.3%34 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.8729646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked No13c9,309$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.5266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No42c9,285$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.74740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No43c9,225$3,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,966.832,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4579…9352backed No43c9,150$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,934.52850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked No40c8,650$3,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4601560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa04c…9e3fbacked Yes58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.694136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes65c7,582$4,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,656.331,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No42c6,118$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,570.152,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…4931backed No43c5,490$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.75250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc31…c8e1backed Yes58c5,431$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd7…e0a5backed No43c5,406$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05077845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes56c4,975$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.8624144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6370…e2f4backed No43c4,651$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe988…cf23backed No43c4,288$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.823438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No28c4,171$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.641,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e39…3e17backed No43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.9743248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…4fcfbacked No24c3,786$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.536958%40 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8709…329abacked No43c3,660$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No43c3,639$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.596654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed No43c3,538$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.0621044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Yes58c3,425$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.38160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed No20c3,364$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.1323224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No23c3,181$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.382,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes57c3,100$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,33335036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x863a…e495backed No42c3,070$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.393231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No42c3,061$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.8271638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2603357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No25c2,999$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.8720448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb11…8f3fbacked No43c2,928$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.945846.6%27 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…4e2dbacked No43c2,595$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-45%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf4…2c9cbacked Yes57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0751625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No42c2,447$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.047643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e1dfbacked No43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No42c2,308$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.424,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes51c2,202$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.1678317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked No43c2,185$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.4136543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No20c2,133$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.498134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed No43c2,097$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.0158029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No7c2,079$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.932,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86019150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Yes58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No42c2,000$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.9912934.1%44 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed No46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9814433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes57c1,959$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.372,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed No43c1,935$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.219840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ef…54d1backed No44c1,892$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No42c1,843$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.61,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Yes57c1,842$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.111656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes57c1,743$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.4389443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf59c…a682backed Yes57c1,726$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.297636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1416549.1%81 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.145550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1416746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Yes58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1412329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd4e2…7f83backed Yes58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.142839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca1…678fbacked Yes58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.141662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed No46c1,617$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.8265835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Yes78c1,582$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.4837944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked No35c1,518$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.3735424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14d8…e8f2backed No42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.211625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x839f…fb43backed Yes57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6459149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63016647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ea…863dbacked Yes57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6455728.1%16 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.9718848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No20c1,498$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.5858942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No42c1,481$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.23,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b8…0effbacked Yes57c1,403$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.619652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Yes58c1,369$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.9714231.7%45 W · 97 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked No7c1,363$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.892630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+154.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8731…2c12backed No43c1,351$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5812334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes56c1,339$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.2913762.8%86 W · 51 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes78c1,323$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.764,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes57c1,316$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.7922551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.