TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$332,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$327,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over16c135,406$21,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,660.8425038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under79c127,677$100,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,076.074,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over38c13,877$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under62c13,439$8,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,087.213,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1c…436cbacked Over39c7,726$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003818.4%7 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under63c7,652$4,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,865.112,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under60c6,004$3,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,396.644,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under77c5,549$4,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.912,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over37c5,548$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.642,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over37c4,961$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.5674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d4e…4accbacked Over39c4,103$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6008121%17 W · 64 L-9.3wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over38c3,421$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30015440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under80c3,218$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.873,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c2,978$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under61c2,654$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.1216258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15f6…0fd4backed Over39c2,348$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.8180%0 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf004…c9d6backed Over36c2,151$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.781668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over15c1,970$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.632,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over38c1,912$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.3792038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under61c1,684$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.681,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x811e…ce09backed Under63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.38035%28 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d78…c66cbacked Over23c1,533$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504015%6 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under62c1,400$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.071,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over37c1,382$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.1817271.5%123 W · 49 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under62c1,378$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.622,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0571…78bebacked Over37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006627.3%18 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over39c1,326$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51714620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over16c1,303$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.839428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under63c1,109$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.3370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over37c1,107$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.9958029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfacb…ccc7backed Over38c1,096$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.523842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x855d…9adabacked Over39c1,093$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.09933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over26c1,050$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.882,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under62c1,032$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.823,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb048…7f07backed Over39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3909148.4%44 W · 47 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef88…d62cbacked Under62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3803363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under63c999.93$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9712947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over33c948.73$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.0877845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8100…53a9backed Over37c896.51$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.713158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8252…e65cbacked Over12c889.83$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.782934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over6c840.45$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.562,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Over37c750$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.58151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x703c…6f15backed Over40c723.88$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.551926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under62c698.13$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.2976551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over35c691.89$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.298750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over36c634.22$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.321,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Under61c618$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0212344.7%55 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over14c602.72$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.161,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22811946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under62c579.71$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4669534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa837…24a4backed Over36c555.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006826.5%18 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Over37c540$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.812435.5%44 W · 80 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04f8…c9e9backed Over37c529.35$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.862552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Over38c526.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009719.6%19 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd72…5a5bbacked Over37c517.86$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.611723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc932…289bbacked Over39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19019251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19529042.1%122 W · 168 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71df…9aa0backed Under62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1905850%29 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked Under62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1907047.1%33 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50f4…04d4backed Under62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1906256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under62c499.97$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over10c471.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6259453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0439…c82bbacked Over40c451.93$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.77110%0 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under63c440.71$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.791,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under66c415.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.223,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under63c414.38$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.81,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under64c396$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.622,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under65c383.83$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.842,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x567a…9b40backed Over40c382.5$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15360%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e2…d5b2backed Over40c370.13$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.056338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over37c360$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.441444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over33c347.76$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.621,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e30…52e3backed Over16c317.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-42.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.547935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under62c309.75$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.193,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over37c300$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.341,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11417045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Over29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8715144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c53…6339backed Over40c283$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.240%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea0d…e1c3backed Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003729.7%11 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over37c272.14$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6924140.2%97 W · 144 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb496…6f10backed Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-50.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under76c268.74$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.021,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005145.1%23 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28fa…7190backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007953.2%42 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa429…ef32backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009840.8%40 W · 58 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf617…a502backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Over40c251.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26a5…3f42backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.