TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,123,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,224,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,123,770 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe549…2d54backed Over61c244,720$148,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,968.8715552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under41c166,825$68,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,340.5577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c148,642$64,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,854.544,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under38c105,058$40,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,176.423,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under40c66,422$26,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,341.8120955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over57c62,855$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,855.4114248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over62c54,041$33,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,535.4522348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over41c50,156$20,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,451.1624533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over60c50,000$29,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,030.6323942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over25c50,000$12,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,435.3842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under41c44,695$18,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,324.9211647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over52c32,236$16,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,599.331,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over59c28,956$17,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,833.022,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under38c28,183$10,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,709.6832031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Over61c27,322$16,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,655.764040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over62c25,863$16,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,827.9118740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under43c24,294$10,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,440.674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under38c18,997$7,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,218.7212255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over63c18,031$11,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,735.3239644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Over57c16,980$9,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,301.495334%18 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under49c16,933$8,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,30020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under2c16,820$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.0775335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under39c16,672$6,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,516.191,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under39c16,316$6,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,382.281,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over62c16,102$9,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,178.151,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Under39c16,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,24027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70017852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c5…ebc7backed Over61c15,000$9,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,919.964938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Under49c14,239$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over60c13,898$8,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,628.432,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8c…6b71backed Under39c12,630$4,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,925.891225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under39c11,918$4,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,648.0270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over45c11,855$5,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,483.3825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over52c10,748$5,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,142.2966846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under1c10,714$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1428229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed Under51c10,087$5,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,144.31931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over59c10,067$5,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,080.851,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30014232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under39c10,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.9226447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Under52c9,999$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.52441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.3714542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under43c9,614$4,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,131.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Over62c8,226$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,125.815442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over62c8,065$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.5231644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over57c7,999$4,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.2437955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b2…5f6bbacked Over62c7,742$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.942556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c7,669$3,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.193,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under39c7,649$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,974.862,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under21c7,470$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under72c6,773$4,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,842.81,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Over53c6,620$3,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,111.3517733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Under38c6,593$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.347962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a66…dcc2backed Under68c6,564$4,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,463.537244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under38c6,555$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.8950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Over60c6,500$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60013259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under32c6,313$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.5838819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under38c6,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28016258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over73c5,701$4,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.1259453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Under64c5,638$3,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,608.546114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under21c5,570$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.827431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under49c5,238$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.9233740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Under39c5,128$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Over61c5,004$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.5630214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under49c5,000$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.3538333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over45c4,967$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.6827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Over61c4,918$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.038951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over62c4,839$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.716550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over63c4,764$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.527448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under61c4,712$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,857.012,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under43c4,642$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.8718837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c4,370$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.8574034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over60c4,242$2,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.5620560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Under50c4,218$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.5914734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ff…5dedbacked Over62c4,200$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5962842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c4,148$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.721,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Under39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5609253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over46c3,838$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.442958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under45c3,836$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.313731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e05…7720backed Under38c3,761$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.212343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6307…a346backed Over63c3,672$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.595158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under25c3,613$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.6519946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe002…152bbacked Over57c3,493$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.543946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under39c3,259$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.232656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Under42c3,138$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.4329633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under29c3,083$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.7623857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.332739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Under33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99016041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Under43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29012655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over47c3,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.9811638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9815128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under47c2,959$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.8827931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under47c2,928$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.452,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Under11c2,850$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.52630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+154.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over51c2,813$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.936234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under47c2,760$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.9443737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Under44c2,759$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.878317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfac3…5728backed Over61c2,700$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0534235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under27c2,609$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.591,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.