TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$401,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$453,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,575 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c148,962$78,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,276.564,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Over41c67,458$27,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,800.27346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over67c23,500$15,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,754.9312254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under33c20,062$6,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,697.843,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over57c16,649$9,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,160.564,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over31c16,093$4,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,162.882,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over66c11,966$7,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,084.951,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c9,461$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,700.33,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over68c7,405$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.112349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under36c6,681$2,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.032,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over68c6,647$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.669929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over37c5,559$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,523.6136437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over66c5,085$3,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.042,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over68c5,054$3,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.2810051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over49c5,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.9929633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over63c4,784$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.378842%37 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under33c3,640$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.834,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over38c3,430$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.892,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Over42c3,310$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.522227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Over66c3,032$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.8210339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9746550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over79c2,802$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.3459453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under34c2,767$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.2858029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under23c2,616$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.172,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over49c2,551$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.0213454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over68c2,507$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.779462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Over40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.962948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed Over35c2,499$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.591442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over52c2,300$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09622943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under33c2,294$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.9418738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under32c2,219$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.120731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under34c2,088$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.931,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under33c2,053$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.9495037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Under33c2,020$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.93033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Over46c1,999$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.573447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under36c1,938$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.542,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over53c1,800$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84611147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over66c1,589$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.1517045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed4…3abdbacked Over66c1,517$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.72864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.530465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Under16c1,500$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2462630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+154.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9343…3f72backed Over67c1,470$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under34c1,313$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.091,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under34c1,285$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.071,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under33c1,219$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.492,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over63c1,168$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.038,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under36c1,097$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3963,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under34c1,081$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.763,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under32c1,044$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.841,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over67c1,030$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.98652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under34c1,003$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.071,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…140fbacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb06…0a43backed Over65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under36c999.98$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9912947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under34c999.93$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.981,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.545735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under33c960.52$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.583,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over62c957.22$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.521,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over61c905.3$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.211,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over59c899.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.21,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe879…750ebacked Over65c846.03$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.111275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.336836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over67c821$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.492,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over65c808.85$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.1913155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbae1…d8abbacked Over65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2311674.1%86 W · 30 L+16.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under68c766.72$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.42,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5147…1c33backed Over68c705.65$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.811566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over40c699.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4206246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over66c686.95$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.436940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b8…3288backed Over42c651.55$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.91145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under7c616.54$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.792,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3837955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Under36c607.54$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.7712853.9%69 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8224…7384backed Over41c570.73$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.735343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over77c555.55$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9341968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under32c546.92$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.951,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa84…2b4bbacked Over47c509.33$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.338652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under52c480.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.581,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under33c476.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4151315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Over68c461.22$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8211746.2%54 W · 63 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Over42c450.95$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.559239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over62c433.09$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.528750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under8c416.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.651,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under35c398.11$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3495739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Over55c363.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.821850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over62c360$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.141444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under34c356.46$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.292038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under34c349.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.52,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ec…7db8backed Over30c334$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2344438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under34c331.58$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3769534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under51c321$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6433443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over66c320$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.832254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over68c311.4$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6513157.3%75 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over66c310.61$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6116136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae7…cc66backed Over26c303.08$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.287534.7%26 W · 49 L-7.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb36e…538fbacked Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0310845.4%49 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0317962.6%112 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20119823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over68c299.09$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7112550.4%63 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.