TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67c5…cab7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT8842%37 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.35
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$327
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$3,113.79
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$923.08
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$851.85
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,389.83
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$839.67
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$886.36
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$393.17
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+51.9%+$10.38
1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+80.3%+$16.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+106%+$107.05
Rangers vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Paris FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+43.1%+$8.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
PEC Zwolle vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.