TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,852 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under62c8,775$5,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,376.064566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under50c5,511$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,751.1396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Over69c5,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.9821058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c3,384$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.32,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over60c3,317$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.951546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over69c2,588$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.723253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Over70c1,883$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3182240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under30c1,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over67c1,417$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.2921650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over37c1,414$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.9859240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over69c1,304$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.992944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b8…63cbbacked Under47c1,261$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over38c1,240$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.0793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Under62c1,103$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over69c868.93$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.564866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under43c692.53$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.9413754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Under58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.661952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3452958.6%17 W · 12 L+6.8wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+101.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Over69c376.81$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over69c362$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.789826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over70c343.59$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5572…984ebacked Over29c340$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under31c314$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.663360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under31c313.44$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3220841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c308.97$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.641,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under31c299.94$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.961662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under31c256$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.641877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+84.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under31c244$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.362055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over67c209.66$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.47520%1 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick68cpaid-71%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14214254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13831441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over53c187.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under31c180$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.25658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under31c179$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.511855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over44c157$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0846742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under31c135$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.152272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+74.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Over63c134$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.422157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+103.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ef2…50e0backed Over69c130.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed Over69c130.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick73cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over69c130.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902860.7%17 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under31c126$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.941154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under34c119.72$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8615550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over51c118.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over69c115.11$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805768.4%39 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under31c109$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.211471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+50.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under31c104$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.761770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+50.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick62cpaid-39.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Under32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684520%9 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Under32c96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.282055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under31c95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.552161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under31c95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.551553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over59c90.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7314351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under31c90$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.11435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under31c86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.341275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+65%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8e2…7b4ebacked Over63c80.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5f…b793backed Over69c80$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under31c80$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.822142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under31c80$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.22842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Under31c78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Under31c78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.822462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Over69c71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.991250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under31c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.33458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d10…e17cbacked Over69c70$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Under32c68.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over43c67.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295450%27 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under31c67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.231747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcde2…67afbacked Under60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over70c66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick30cpaid-85.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under29c62.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.412453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under31c62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.781050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2116…d3c2backed Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Over69c58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.021435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-38.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Over69c58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.02520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over70c57.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x68cc…24adbacked Over69c56$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.641172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+41.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56c6…0ea4backed Under64c55.67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.073129%9 W · 22 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Over40c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under54c54.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3652748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under32c53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.041650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Under31c52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.881637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156653%35 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.511546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under35c49.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.52540%10 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked Over69c49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.81728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick63cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5dc8…522bbacked Over69c49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Over62c46.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.081457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad7…f012backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9b…0bc0backed Over69c46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.74955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Under33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x080f…c226backed Over69c45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Over69c44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Over69c43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.67955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over70c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd5…30f0backed Over70c41.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Over69c41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.29850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df8…475cbacked Over68c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.