TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$358,344
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,344 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over43c305,846$131,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,025.651369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under57c90,000$51,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,7007938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under59c73,984$43,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,415.9996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c59,400$33,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,541.9993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c53,340$34,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,345.812,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under57c19,016$10,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,174.0252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over14c9,999$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.863324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under68c4,948$3,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.6715550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c4,293$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.251,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7201338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under57c2,948$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.644261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86010152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under59c1,687$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.48757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under58c1,651$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.2659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under57c1,450$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.3633357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over16c1,238$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002450%12 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e79…089bbacked Under59c624.31$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21513648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21528458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over43c443.16$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.561266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over36c425.4$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15210736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1728948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17211550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1722245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under58c392$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.931957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under57c385$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.557948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over33c326.94$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.897220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Under59c325.8$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed Over42c301.6$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.19742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12914155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x833a…5d74backed Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12915459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Over16c298.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8510039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over43c258.14$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11133951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10510744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under58c240$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.81978.9%15 W · 4 L+5.0wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+59.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Under58c240$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.81070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under58c237$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.541877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+84.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under59c210$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.12958.6%17 W · 12 L+6.8wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+101.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under59c210$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.143360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8611551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8611354%61 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868151.9%42 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8611652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867255.6%40 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8612754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Over41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8221058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8611655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8612454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8612253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8611153.2%59 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8611060%66 W · 44 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8612350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Under59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under58c199.97$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.991662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under58c185$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.112055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over43c184.17$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.199937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6891…949fbacked Under59c170.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.494100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+85.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under58c170$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.41855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under57c154$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2213550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under57c154$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2228556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Under57c139.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over44c136$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.849826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Under58c136$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.121258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under57c134$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6213152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Under58c127$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.341471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+62.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed Under58c127$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.34966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under58c121$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.822347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under58c117$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.142166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under58c117$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.141747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under59c113.52$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.628952.8%47 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over43c111$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.73147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick30cpaid-85.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under58c105$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.12365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under57c103$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2925556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under57c103$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2918459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over41c101.34$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5531441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.258863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204520%9 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4215238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Under58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4215357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under58c95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.92568%17 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under58c94.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7220841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Under58c94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.481450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Over42c82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.44977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+81.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9840…cb31backed Over42c79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.