Serie A · resolved market
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30e0b4ce78b733c33045aaa6348859d2b29ab62c59f903fc6106ee00feeef1e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Como 1907of AS Roma, Como 1907
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed AS Roma | 19c | 4,839$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.65 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked AS Roma | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AS Roma | 18c | 647.89$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.76 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed AS Roma | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed39…f1f5backed AS Roma | 20c | 235$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked AS Roma | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed AS Roma | 21c | 185.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed AS Roma | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked AS Roma | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Como 1907 | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked AS Roma | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…2256backed AS Roma | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…f795backed AS Roma | 20c | 87.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked AS Roma | 12c | 85.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed AS Roma | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked AS Roma | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…e3d9backed AS Roma | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…d27cbacked AS Roma | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Como 1907 | 80c | 28.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Como 1907 | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)this page
- AS Roma vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.