TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e79…089b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST3053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$42.27
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$49.6
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+32.5%+$14.27
Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$74.69
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$28.76
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+267.6%+$164.88
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$243.31
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.67
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$131.83
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$120.55
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+90.6%+$110.5
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+47.5%+$55.86
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Aurora (BO3)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+114.8%+$168
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+117.3%+$72.34
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+48.6%+$41.07
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+63.2%+$165.58
Dota 2: Runa Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+31.5%+$31.88
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Passion UA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$34.47
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+33.4%+$94.16
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$31.75
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$27.15
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Runa Team (BO3)backed Runa Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+197.8%+$26.29
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+183.8%+$28.89
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+182.8%+$116.23
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.49
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+96.1%+$68.3
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19.38
Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+95.3%+$18.34
Raptors vs. Heat: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$73.72
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$35.73
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,011.98
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+57.6%+$282.44
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20.93
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+156.4%+$69.35
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$36.45
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+42.4%+$192.81
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$11.04
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$165.75
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.83
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$21.3
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$37.56
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$53.05
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+55.3%+$295.94
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+310.8%+$177.3
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$45.39
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.22
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$32.21
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+44.9%+$24.17
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$279.19
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+205.4%+$48.13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-54.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Alabama Lions vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked North Alabama Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked Fresno State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.18
Southern Jaguars vs. Texas State Bobcatsbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50.73
Boston College Eagles vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$74.14
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$18.36
New Mexico Lobos vs. VCU Ramsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$31.33
Colgate Raiders vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.44
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Fordham Ramsbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60.46
Maine Black Bears vs. Boston Terriersbacked Maine Black Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+240.1%+$255.72
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogsbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$97.54
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigersbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+57.1%+$23.31
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$65.66
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$246.61
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+69.6%+$256.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.12
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$234.94
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$111.44
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+86.7%+$63.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+72.4%+$15.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Basketball vs. Barcelonabacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$43.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.