TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,338,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,611,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,338,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Spurs28c1,640,437$464,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175,644.8115443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bc…af98backed Lakers72c556,000$400,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400,32010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Lakers72c555,556$400,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Spurs29c347,136$100,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246,887.8687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Lakers71c317,105$225,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225,144.5520253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Spurs41c201,217$82,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,134.417745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Lakers62c129,948$81,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,022.4759653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers68c122,446$83,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,626.852,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers43c117,670$50,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,101.2627251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb351…5fbfbacked Lakers68c113,457$76,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,815.883043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Lakers0c101,792$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9916130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Lakers71c100,000$71,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,999.9924650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Lakers70c95,237$66,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,665.5613248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Lakers71c91,457$64,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,934.558961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Spurs29c90,115$26,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,981.911,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Lakers39c82,000$31,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,979.998333.7%28 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Spurs32c78,245$25,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,206.6792753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Lakers70c70,000$48,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,885.9137557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Lakers70c60,879$42,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,837.1323245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Spurs30c60,877$18,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,830.2420551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lakers68c58,800$39,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,983.332,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Spurs28c56,735$15,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,849.2926753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs31c55,593$17,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,578.294,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x430e…51f0backed Lakers72c53,646$38,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,62570%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Spurs31c50,977$15,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,272.8521450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Lakers70c50,977$35,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,782.6217861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Spurs30c50,000$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,199.9518045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Lakers70c50,000$35,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,199.831445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers19c48,158$9,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,368.191,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf963…0637backed Lakers65c46,600$30,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,166.584742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Lakers69c40,973$28,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,271.422,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Spurs28c40,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,799.9735235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Spurs35c37,174$12,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,315.7847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lakers17c37,004$6,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,218.2481529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Spurs44c36,873$16,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,715.456352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Spurs29c32,805$9,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,291.5516942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers70c32,032$22,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,263.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Spurs30c30,000$8,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,10051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs33c30,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,099.9934062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Lakers36c28,019$9,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,96021944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Spurs29c27,751$8,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,714.069336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Spurs31c27,009$8,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,595.8136741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs33c27,000$8,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,0604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Spurs51c26,267$13,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,992.264247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Lakers37c25,536$9,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,328.241,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Spurs32c25,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,00038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68d7…1c0bbacked Lakers40c24,934$9,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,967.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Lakers28c24,590$6,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,946.4527917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs50c23,265$11,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,642.615,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers25c23,141$5,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,864.724,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Spurs31c22,399$6,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,489.7355346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs32c21,025$6,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,348.0889050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers38c20,758$7,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,944.3485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Lakers32c20,235$6,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,423.6319136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Lakers70c20,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,0005350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Lakers2c20,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e65…7bc1backed Spurs31c18,700$5,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,8961546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Lakers69c17,968$12,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,315.7527424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Lakers72c17,390$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5005139.2%20 W · 31 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Lakers34c17,232$5,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,876.571,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Spurs28c15,791$4,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,372.7110235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Lakers72c15,088$10,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,863.216943.8%74 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Spurs79c15,033$11,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,168.683857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers13c14,193$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.751,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Lakers14c14,020$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.593036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers70c13,817$9,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,627.673,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Spurs33c13,718$4,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,222.341,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers70c13,695$9,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,546.611,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Lakers72c13,679$9,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,849.177447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Lakers12c13,436$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.547445.9%34 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Lakers70c13,295$9,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,328.8569852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30e1…2300backed Spurs41c13,290$5,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,808.311250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Lakers17c13,170$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.7414243%61 W · 81 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Lakers1c13,093$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5764517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf673…a9a3backed Lakers2c12,949$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.223762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf2c…097cbacked Lakers68c12,700$8,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,635.983177.4%24 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Lakers57c12,316$7,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,020.123839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Spurs29c12,205$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,665.8372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers2c11,903$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.361,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Spurs31c11,680$3,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,059.220542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Lakers48c11,423$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Lakers71c11,193$7,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,931.4948957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb97a…a688backed Lakers56c10,242$5,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,761.771650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Spurs31c10,236$3,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,044.644459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs30c10,100$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,120.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Lakers45c10,026$4,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,542.5450838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Spurs28c10,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20017658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lakers7c9,917$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.61,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Spurs33c9,540$3,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,408.971,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Lakers35c9,233$3,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,231.642142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Spurs30c9,167$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,416.679743.3%42 W · 55 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54fd…ae61backed Lakers57c8,740$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Lakers45c8,629$3,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,885.675657.1%32 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15bd…3e07backed Spurs79c8,593$6,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.342665.4%17 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Lakers6c8,590$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.431,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers33c8,212$2,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,690.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Spurs53c7,906$4,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,685.144654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Spurs30c7,742$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,419.669641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed Spurs59c7,730$4,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,164.777259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked Spurs61c7,440$4,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.593759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.