TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,669 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd43c…04e8backed Under44c40,000$17,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,60011535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c23,324$12,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,623.919,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over56c14,293$7,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,300.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over51c9,877$5,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,839.7374748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a12…6428backed Under49c8,124$3,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,98120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb351…5fbfbacked Over52c6,411$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,077.263043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under49c6,156$3,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,016.5759646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over56c5,933$3,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.866853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x270b…ff56backed Under46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8401850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84019958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd49…4b3bbacked Over54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8402263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under46c3,243$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.7858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over52c2,539$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.6417744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c2,340$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.63,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under35c1,105$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.491,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over66c1,007$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4146258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over69c865$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Under49c816.32$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007433.8%25 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under44c498.34$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.272,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under31c487.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8928537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under46c335.53$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3451146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over56c314.88$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.212,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0585…5fa1backed Over63c279.38$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.382450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under50c264$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Under20c260$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5226233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under36c248$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.084,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Under46c232$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.726839.7%27 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Over54c210$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.619254.7%105 W · 87 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under48c207$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.367162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9834447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Under49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9937848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Under46c195.65$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9018444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6820847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8228046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under48c138$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.249560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Under39c136$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.623348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under41c128$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.485651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd64…c090backed Over61c121.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.983863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Under47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.730348.2%146 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over55c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.52,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under43c99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.574949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Under38c88$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.633658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Over56c85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3113943.2%60 W · 79 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.82864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under37c76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.127648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over63c75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.753860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Over60c74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.263652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under41c73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.936349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Under35c73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.556058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Over52c72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.566048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under39c72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.088752.9%46 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under34c69.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.841,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe9…a400backed Over52c69$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.122857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under37c66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.34429.5%13 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Over52c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.683056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under37c64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.686045%27 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ae…2bfebacked Over54c63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.983250%16 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over61c61.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.221,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Under35c61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.353043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under37c61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.575141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Over66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6124248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x597f…e9cfbacked Over52c59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.322857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Under48c59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.323655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under41c58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.784957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Over52c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.843647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Under38c57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.669048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce01…5c2abacked Over62c55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.751973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under35c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.258151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under37c54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.985345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Under38c52.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.97650%38 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Under37c52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.247247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb9…d7ddbacked Under41c49.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Under35c49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.154153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66f7…2894backed Over59c48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.682958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf0a…70a0backed Under42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.5wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-57.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc727…adc2backed Over65c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.92462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over59c44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.862934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Over61c42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.383759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc518…bdecbacked Over54c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.943129%9 W · 22 L-7.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over63c38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.063650%18 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under35c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.954245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Over57c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.483641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e26…c672backed Over62c35.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a4…581ebacked Over65c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fef…a3d3backed Over64c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.771838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…8137backed Over57c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.191957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Over60c31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.475552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Under35c31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.973259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6a69backed Over63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.033040%12 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58b7…103cbacked Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed Over59c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.482850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6061…1ff7backed Over62c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.642958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Over59c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.665843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6191…e505backed Over63c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.624951%25 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Over61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.755850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Under40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1034246.8%160 W · 182 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.