TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xecb9…d7dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+458.7%+$91.73
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+300%+$75
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$13.61
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Hornets vs. Pelicansbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-82.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+46.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+140.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+221.3%+$44.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21.54
Spread: Lions (-10.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+70.1%+$70.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+38.9%+$27.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.