Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19cfeaef3f96834c7664f15dac8036a70213e88d766ec7856d7ac395dd7b48c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 4,853$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.89 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Over | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 1,561$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.5 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 59c | 1,328$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.76 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 41c | 1,308$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.69 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 1,208$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.13 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 1,091$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.07 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 58c | 699.95$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.97 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 22c | 640.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 41c | 499.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.97 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 41c | 480$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 41c | 440$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.6 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 42c | 392.62$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.72 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 370.36$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 32c | 293$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 58c | 206.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 49c | 203.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 42c | 165$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 60c | 143.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 59c | 101$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 76c | 93.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 59c | 83.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…d7ddbacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 26c | 45.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 59c | 42.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 57c | 34.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 34.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 33.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 41c | 32.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 28.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 52c | 25.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…d986backed Under | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Lille OSC won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.