TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9660…ba56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
SC Heerenveen vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
SC Heerenveen vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Heracles Almelo vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$124.05
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+330.2%+$957.47
FC Groningen vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AZ: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
AFC Ajax vs. PSV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.18
Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.57
Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.95
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
VfL Bochum vs. Hannover 96: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$35.94
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.71
VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.04
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.9
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$166.14
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
SV 07 Elversberg vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$147.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.95
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.01
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.42
Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.23
Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+39.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$69.64
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$41.11
Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Oxford United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.2
Middlesbrough FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Middlesbrough FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+247.4%+$47.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$45.55
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.28
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.03
All 10 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.