Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4353cdcd690181d377b5640c645c8e210a32b16ca70dd9ef0b45b80e26c4e603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 1c | 2,817$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 1c | 2,734$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 2,733$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.28 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 2,479$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.77 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1a…b251backed Under | 1c | 2,391$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,895$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 42c | 1,545$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.58 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 56c | 1,105$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.9 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 765.21$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.36 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 58c | 763.99$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.97 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 46c | 541.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.61 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 43c | 408.89$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.22 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 56c | 359.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Over | 66c | 302.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 78c | 291.31$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 276.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 20c | 235$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 56c | 228.71$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 67c | 220.9$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 198$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 64c | 171.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 57c | 167.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 68c | 166$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 40c | 105.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 45c | 73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 75c | 65.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 56c | 61.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 66c | 60.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Under | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 56.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 56c | 53.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 49.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 36c | 30.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Over | 56c | 22.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked Over | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 66c | 22.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Over | 60c | 20.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb11…73f2backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Telstar 1963 (-2.5)FC Volendam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.