Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc95e2682fbcadee2e7d9c7469dc616add8960323359d3cdaafa815185647625b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Under | 61c | 13,119$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,119.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 39c | 3,200$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 39c | 2,389$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.81 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Over | 34c | 1,991$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 1,871$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.4 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 18c | 1,751$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.68 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 39c | 1,400$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Over | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 783.57$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 614.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.07 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 39c | 520$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 450$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 65c | 447.01$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.46 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 65c | 397.29$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.05 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 39c | 320$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 39c | 312$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 39c | 280$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 248.39$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 240.93$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.82 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 39c | 230$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 18c | 212$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 28c | 179.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 56c | 148.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Over | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 43c | 89.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 88.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 81.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Under | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 66c | 70.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 80c | 69.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 39c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed Over | 42c | 47.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 67c | 34.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 39c | 32.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Under | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78be…df11backed Under | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Telstar 1963 (-2.5)FC Volendam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.