Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04226a1e799f38c34a4bf26fe6a3ac79afe0a6bf182ed3f62b72e69b3b6637b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 780.82$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.87 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 57c | 681.12$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.19 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Under | 59c | 487.7$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.74 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 43c | 465.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.09 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 416.76$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.87 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 72c | 407.87$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c9…e341backed Under | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…dac4backed Under | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea1…3183backed Under | 59c | 330.3$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 41c | 200.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.34 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 66c | 167.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 161.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Under | 59c | 156.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 42c | 149.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 28c | 119.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c6…20f2backed Under | 60c | 97.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 43c | 90.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 40c | 84.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 43c | 78.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 78.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 57c | 72.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 34c | 71.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 58c | 58.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 56.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Under | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Under | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 41c | 46.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 59c | 37.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 57c | 34.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 33.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Under | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Over | 49c | 22.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 59c | 21.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 59c | 20.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 69c | 19.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 59c | 18.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 73c | 18.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 66 | 92.4%61 W · 5 L | +17.8wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.