Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffd05621fe12449ed536add8e753a3b0c998e5864e2eec3a0ea326902eaf00f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 32c | 405.42$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.73 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 67c | 253.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 67c | 226.45$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 70c | 196.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 174.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 33c | 165.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 67c | 141.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 122.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Under | 33c | 98.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…a4aabacked Over | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 68c | 68.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 51.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 38c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 33c | 40.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 67c | 39.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 55c | 36.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed Under | 33c | 34.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over | 70c | 24.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Over | 68c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…8d92backed Over | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Over | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.